June 25th, 2009

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Euro to dollar grows on Friday, the EU states on a course of the economy to sustained recovery

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

rate Euro to U.S. dollar and rising yen on Friday in a statement the leaders of the European Union (EU), that the eurozone economy is on track to sustained economic recovery, reports Bloomberg.

According to the draft communiqué session of the EU at the level of Heads of State and Government, held in Brussels, further fiscal incentives are not needed, and attention should be shifted to consolidation.

euro rate against the U.S. rose during the bidding to $ 1.3944, compared with $ 1.3900 at closing of market on Thursday. The value of European currencies to the yen rose to 134.77 yen from 134.17 yen the previous day.

support of the euro are also expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB), who will speak on Friday, confirmed the intention to maintain the base interest rates at current levels.

Currently, the ECB rate is 1% per annum, while the U.S. Federal Reserve keeps its target range of 0-25% per annum, the Bank of Japan - at the level of 0.1% per annum. Click to continue »

The opening bid on the Russian market is expected today in the neutral zone

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Good day. Thursday ended with the decline of quotations on the Russian stock market. RTS Index fell 3.92%. MICEX index lost 1.78%. Trading volume continued to increase, updating records for the last two weeks.

At the opening of the trading market on Thursday attempted to growth, testing the resistance in the region of 1050 points on the MICEX index. However, the initiative was immediately intercepted by the vendors, which led to a decrease in the 980 area locations where support was found.

rebound occurred at higher volumes, indicating a higher chance of continued today with the goals of corrective growth in the region of 1050, items 1080-1100.

The current situation, we tend to treat development as a downward trend, which involves the use of intermediary sales for the upward movement, the opening short positions. One of the goals of reducing the supposedly located in the vicinity of 800 points on the MICEX index.

opening trades today, we look forward to in the neutral zone. During the day, chances are high for continued technical rebound Thursday with the objectives in the region of 1050, possibly 1080-1100 points on the MICEX index.

U.S. stock indices closed the last trading session of the growth. Much better than the market traded financial sector. The reason for optimism as the data on applications for unemployment benefits in the United States, which showed a decrease of 148 thousand to 6.69 million (the first decline since January of this year), with initial applications for unemployment benefits rose for the week on 3 thousand to 608 thousand

At the auction in Asia, there is moderate growth, which probably relates to the positive inertia, given the outcome of trades in the United States.

Futures on the SP 500 moves to date in the area of support at 920 points. During the last trading session of futures has formed an intermediate bottom in the region of 910 points. The immediate objective is upward rebound in the region of 930 points. The objective of reducing - 880-890 points.

Futures on the RTS index in the course of the evening trading session, trading in the region of 100 000 points. The immediate objective of growth is located in the vicinity of 102 000-104 000 points, then 107 000-108 000 points. During the next week, expect the reduction in the region 90 000-95 000 points.

moderately positive external background. America to close the growth, the oil and gas sector is worse than the market, the financial sector better than the market. Asia traded mostly up.

Final recommendation:

Investor - cut positions;

speculators - playing sales.

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At the start of bidding Russian indices may continue to rebound inertia generated closer to the day before the closing session

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Medium-term investors are waiting for a regular shopping

the eve of the Russian stock market lived their lives and at a neutral external background rained down, ignoring any positive signals from the external site in the first half of the session. Sale took place on good volumes, so speculative that Dam does not call. In my opinion, in the absence of further signals for the growth of medium-term investors prefer fixed income, waiting for another moment to enter.

During yesterday's session, indices went below critical levels of support in the region of 1000 points. RTS Index at the opening left by the bottom of the medium-term ascending channel, formed in March 2009, adjusted from the maximum levels of the year at 17.04%. Technically, the medium-term potential of the movement seen on the RTS to the 200-day moving, which can be a point for the opening of the medium-term position, subject to moderate - a positive signal to external sites. Index MICEX during yesterday's session of the rapidly falling to the bottom border of the ascending channel (960 points), formed earlier this year, stayed at the level of support in the region of 980 points, which, against the backdrop of positive signals from external sites, closer to the closing session rebound occurred. At the end of the day on the MICEX was closed 16.75% lower than the highs of 2009. Technically, the potential short-and medium-term downward movement continues. When the lower limit of Perforation downstream end, the channel will become a rising 200-day moving in the vicinity of 820 points - there are about 20% downward correction. In my opinion, this level can also be a point of entry for the medium-term investors and large funds.

Following the closure of our situation on the external sites are not significantly changed. SP 500 index continued its consolidation in the region of 920 points, do not attempt to test the resistance in the region of 930 points. Given the previous few days, reducing this factor is quite low, confirming the lack of willingness to purchase. Oil attempted to march toward $ 71.5 per barrel for Brent, but before the opening session, held above $ 71 a barrel.

The opening of the market lies in the area of yesterday's closing levels. At the start of the trading indices may continue to rebound inertia generated closer to the day before the closing session. The nearest resistance is once again on the MICEX border-term 38.2% Fibonacci correction of 1055 points in the area. Macroeconomic background quite calm out important data is necessary to note the number of unemployed in the United States, which will be published closer to the final bid. At neutral external background there is an attempt to hike down, as the weak U.S. indices had no serious shopping during the Friday session, and permission to open a short - too much temptation for speculators.

According to the results of yesterday's session, the major U.S. indexes for the first time this week shut down in the black. Before you start bidding was published good macro-economic statistics on the number of applications for unemployment benefits, which was significantly reduced. In addition, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that business activity in the region in June was the highest since September last year, and the index of leading indicators rose in May, the second month in succession to 1.2% (the largest increase since March 2004). During the session, shares look good financial sector is among the outsiders in the previous trading days.

In the evening session on FORTS most of the contracts on stocks neftyanki gaining in value. It looked like a contract for the shares of Lukoil (1.54%). A futures contract on shares of Gazprom gained 1.15%. At the opening of the paper can enter the oil and gas sector in the list of favorites, otygryvaya evening rise in the cost of black gold, after which the ride may commit the speculative profit, and with the opening of the medium-term positions do not hurry.

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In Russia, up to 2% of borrowers to restructure mortgage loans

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

developed by Russian banks restructuring loans for private individuals have virtually no effect. They took advantage of a few percent of the borrowers.

On June 1, Russia's largest creditor - Bank restructured the public currency loans for 2.8 billion rubles., ruble - by 360 million rubles., said the representative of Sberbank Irina Kibina. The total volume of retail portfolio of the bank on May 1 - 1.3 trillion rubles. Thus, the proportion of restructured loans is only about 0.2%.

Director of the Credit to the private clients of Sberbank Dmitry Мохначев added that the restructuring of almost 90% of foreign currency loans reduced to their conversion in the ruble. Delays had not been. Private clients seek to maintain a good credit history. In addition, bank grants loans under the sponsorship of other natural persons, adds Мохначев. The main reasons for which customers are asked to restructure, - loss of employment or reduction of income, he adds.

In my opinion, it is little wonder few, - said one of the managers of the bank. - Although I would not say that our borrowers situation better than others. He admits that the vast majority of borrowers do not fall within the terms of the restructuring of mortgages that the bank holds in conjunction with AHML - it the largest volume applications. What was the total amount of applications for change of conditions on loans, the Savings Bank representative declined to speak.

main rival Sberbank - VTB 24 restructured 2.26% of portfolio mortgage loans, retail credit for the rest of the level of restructuring is minimal, said Chief Financial Officer of the Bank Mikhail Berezov. Click to continue »

Europe: the statistics of the United States changed the course of bidding and pushed the markets to grow

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

On Thursday, June 18, European stock markets behaved in the region within days rather ambiguous. After the release of statistics on retail sales in the UK, which fell by 0.6% m /m compared with an expected increase of 0.4%, European indices were in the red zone. However, subsequently published statistics from the United States showed that the index of leading indicators rose in May to 1.2%, while analysts predicted growth of 0.9% and European markets for the region immediately moved to green zone.

As a result of bidding key UK FTSE 100 index advanced at 0.06%, French CAC 40 was closed in the black at 1.04%, German DAX rose 0.78%, while the regional index Dow Stoxx 600 added to its asset 0.58% and closed at 205.81 for the item.

The biggest UK consumer electronics retailer DSG International lost 6.25% at the auction market capitalization on the background of statistics on retail sales, has proven to worse prognosis. Home Retail Group Shares have been easier on 0,4%, and quotes the third largest worldwide manufacturer of jewelry Bulgari fell by 1.22%.

Papers cement producer HeidelbergCement soared 17.37% after it said that the refinancing was possible through the participation of 50 international lenders.

Quotations Cadbury, the world's largest manufacturer of confectionery products, grown up to 0.57% against a backdrop of rising sales in April and May of this year.

Shares of Danish financial company ING Groep went up by 7.97%, after Goldman Sachs Group analysts upgraded its rating on the paper with neutral to buy.

Europe's largest supplier of insulation and roofing collapsed SIG at 21.74%, once said that annual profits would be at the minimum level predicted by analysts because of the weak performance of sales in the UK.

Paper second-largest worldwide manufacturer of tires Michelin Cie reduced to 1.73% on the background of statements by CEO of the company that the recovery industry is not expected until mid to late 2010.

Shares of British company Mouchel Group, the service runs around London's M25 highway, collapsed at 32.62% after it reported that annual profits would be below previous forecasts.

The values of major indices at the closing are shown in the table:

Index Country Closing (items) Change Day (%) Change for day (items) Change from the beginning of the year (%)
ATX Austria 2027.85 0.35 7.12 15.42
BEL20 Index Belgium 1980.83 0.82 16.19 2.93
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 4280.86 0.06 2.40 -3.46
DAX Index Germany 4837.48 0.78 37.5 -0.21
IBEX 35 INDEX Spain 9384 1.09 100.8 0.95
FTSE /MIB Italy 19233.79 1.11 210.74 -2.25
AEX Netherlands 253.52 0.91 2.29 2.15
OMX Nordic 40 Scandinavia 695.35 0.62 4.31 10.42
CAC 40 France 3194.06 1.04 32.92 -1.77
SMI Switzerland 5376.84 1.41 74.55 -4.20

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