July 21st, 2009

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On the negative territory closed MMC Norilsk Nickel (-1.39%), Polyus Gold (-1%) and Rostelecom (-0.6%)

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

The market was able to finish the day above 1000 points mark on the MICEX index

The opening bid at the Russian sites have passed in the negative dynamics, then the market turned around and went up to the mark of 1000 points on the MICEX index. Short-term consolidation at this level was changed to a new wave of growth. Far not been able to leave the market, a wave of sales that took place against a background of reducing oil futures quotations and American indices, the market returned to the previous day's closing levels, but most of the closing of the MICEX index was able to recover higher level of 1000 points. Leaders of growth became the paper Surgutneftegaz and Gazpromnefti added 4,34% and 3,49% respectively. The company they were Sberbank (3.11%) and Rosneft (2.04%). On the negative territory closed Norilsk Nickel (-1.39%), Polyus Gold (-1%) and Rostelecom (-0.6%). At the end of the trading the MICEX index rose by 1.73%, ending the day at 1002.88 points.

positive external background, which is our platform in the early trading session ignored, eventually allowed the bulls to take the market into their own hands and lead the index to the 1000 points mark on the MICEX index, but he did not allow them to continue the upward movement. Correction in external sites has been held in anticipation of the speech of Ben Bernanke, that led to a decline in our market before closing. In the future, the market will try to gain a higher level of 1000 points, but perhaps the data on oil reserves in the United States to go tomorrow and the data on the labor market, falling on Thursday, may disappoint the players, leading to a decrease.

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NBU expresses not spending it is part of IMF loan

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

National Bank said that not being spent his portion of loans from the International Monetary Fund. This group of advisers told the leader of the National Bank of Chapter Valery Litvitsky.

IMF funds not spent, and will not be spent until we have foreign exchange reserves from export-import operations of the capital and financial transactions. We do not use these funds and they are known account , - he said.

Litvitsky added that the IMF funds from the National Bank accommodated safely and without risk, and the NBU receives some benefits from the deployment.

Tranches (IMF) are of psychological value and give investors confidence that we have an autumn rush charges will go well and even foreign exchange reserves at the end of the year will remain, - added the banker. Click to continue »

Overview of the oil market for 20.07.09

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

Dynamics

Trades on the market of black gold on Monday, July 20, continued upward momentum in the background of favorable macro-economic data and growth expectations, increasing demand for energy in the foreseeable future.

At the New York Stock Exchange NYMEH cost of the August futures for U.S. light crude oil rose by 0.42 dollars and its price, therefore, amounted to 63.98 dollar per barrel.

At the ISE Stock Exchange in London mark Brent oil price rose to 66.50 dollars per barrel.

Causes

At the auction on Monday 20 July, the oil quotations showed a decline in growth due to the dollar and the growth of stock markets. Last week, the price of oil rose by 6.1% #9472, the first weekly rise for the month #9472; with the support of the good macroeconomic performance and surpassed forecasts of quarterly reports of several large American companies.

From the news it should be noted that the Minerals Management Service in the United States Department of the Interior announced the results of bidding for the acquisition of exploration permits in the central part of the Gulf of Mexico, where she received more than $ 700 million. Money received for the 328 licenses that go into the State Treasury. They provide for financial assistance to all 50 states of the federation. In the tender was attended by over 70 companies. Click to continue »

Gazprom will hold talks with the shipbuilding company for the delivery of the first tanker-metanovozov Russian production

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

Temporarily, the Acting Chairman of the Board of Gazprom Alexander Ananenkov held a meeting on the deployment of the Russian shipbuilding enterprises of orders the company to create technology for the development of the marine shelf and transport of liquefied and compressed natural gas.

The meeting was attended by a member of the Board - Head of Department for Gas, Gas Condensate and Oil of Gazprom Vasily Podyuk, the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation, heads and specialists of relevant departments of Gazprom and its subsidiaries - OOO Gazprom production offshore, LLC Gazflot , OAO Giprospetsgaz, as well as JSC OPK, JSC Vyborg Shipyard and TsNII them. Acad. AN Krylov.

At the meeting it was noted that Gazprom fully supports the initiative of Russian shipbuilders to build new production facilities for the manufacture of drilling and production platforms, ships and tankers to ensure the transportation of LNG, corresponding to the high requirements of the company and not inferior in quality world analogues.

The meeting stressed that the Russian shipbuilding industry as a whole is able to cope with the challenges that it poses Gazprom. Prior to 2020 for the development of the continental shelf of the company will need more than a dozen drilling and production platforms, more than 60 ships and plavtehsredstv of various types, as well as up to 23 tankers to transport LNG. At the same time, Gazprom seeks to maximize the use of domestic shipbuilding capacity, the report says the company.

Following the meeting of relevant departments of the company and its subsidiaries, as well as TsNII them. Acad. AN Krylov was given the assignment to the accelerated completion of the development of a program for creating floating technical facilities and their use in the development of offshore oil and gas exploration until 2030. Click to continue »

Revenues INTER RAO UES on the basis of 2008 under IFRS grew by 31% and amounted to 1.7 billion euro

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

At the end of 2008 revenues of JSC INTER RAO UES IFRS increased by 396 million euro (31%) compared with the previous year and amounted to 1.672 billion euros. Increased revenue is due mainly to higher prices for the implementation of electricity.

costs of ongoing activities in the reporting year grew by 7% over the same period in 2007 and amounted to 1.526 billion euros. In doing so, the costs of purchasing electricity and power increased by 24% - up to 892 million euros, due to, first of all, higher prices for electricity purchased in the domestic market of the Russian Federation in order of performance on a regulated market for the sale of electricity (capacity) and foreign trade operations.

The increase was partially offset by decrease in loss on impairment of fixed assets as a result of the revaluation of fixed assets of some foreign subsidiaries and amounted in 2008, 6 million euros, against 123 million euro in 2007.

The operating profit of the company for 2008 amounted to 197 million euros, net profit - 87 million euros, while in 2007 INTER RAO UES, finished with a negative financial result, which is largely due to revaluation of fixed assets, held in 2007.

The value of total assets as of on 31 December 2008 increased by 263 million euro (14%) compared with the previous reporting period and amounted to 2.175 billion euros.

The main reason for the growth of fixed assets was initiated in 2008 an investment project to expand the Kaliningrad CHPP-2 by a second unit. Advances and construction related to the project, recorded in Other non-current assets of the group and on on 31 December 2008 amount to 129 million euros. Click to continue »

Futures on the dollar-ruble bounce up after the test of support at 31 300

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

During the morning selling futures on the RTS index (RTS-9.09, RIU9) experienced a decrease in area of 95 000 points, reflected by the resistance at 97 000 points.

According to futures on the RTS, we recommend the game sales in the calculation of the development of corrective decline to an increase in the last days. Suspected reduction goal - 93 000 90 000 87 000 85 000 83 000 points.

Futures on the euro-dollar (ED-9.09, EDU9) in its successful bid Breaks resistance in the area of 1.42. The nearest resistance is located in the vicinity of 1.43. If you continue shopping next goal of growth can make the area 1.45-1.46. Stop by the long positions can be placed below the 1.4-1.41.

Futures on the dollar-ruble (Si-9.09, SiU9) bounce up after the test of support at 31 300. In the current situation, we prefer the game of shopping for a adjustment of the range of 31 300-32 300. Stop in this case can be located below 31 300. Breakdown of support at 31 300 probably leads to sales with a view to the nearest 31 000.

Futures oil varieties Brent (BR-8.09, BRQ9) consolidated in the region of local maxima ($ 66-67). The following objectives of growth - $ 70, $ 72. Stop by the Long can be placed below $ 63-64. Stop by the short can be above $ 67.

Futures on gold (GOLD-9.09, GDU9) continued consolidation in the region of $ 950, which can be a game of sales per adjustment of the range of $ 900-960. Stop by the short in this case can be placed above $ 960.

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Improving the quotation OGK-3 and Enele WGC-5 is a reflection of the general trend emerging in the area of generation

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

  As a result of trades 20.07.2009 MICEX index of power-added 3,2% and closed at around 1614 points. The volume of trades on Monday, compared with the level significantly increased.

Stock Quotes sector showed the largest companies before, mostly positive trend: the value of securities FGC UES increased by 1.4%, stock quotes, RusGidro climbed to 0.8%, the paper IDC Holding cheaper by 1% shares Mosenergo went up by 3.7%, paper, Inter RAO UES increased in price by 4.7%. Leaders ofgrowth in the segment generated by the action of WGC-3 and Enele WGC-5 , which quotes for the trading session jumped to 10.6% and 10.5% respectively, with an average increase in value of securities genkompany at 2.8%.

We believe that enhancing the quotations of the companies was not due to any specific corporate news, but rather reflects a general trend emerging in the area of generation. Currently, OGK-3 shares traded at a cost of $ 82 per 1 kW at a rate of EV /installed capacity, which is slightly below the average for the WGC-level, while paper Enele WGC-5 traded at $ 194 per 1 kW, which is 69% higher medium. In our opinion, the current growth potential for both stocks is limited, so we recommend investors take a moment and switch to shares of our favorites - TGK-1, Mosenergo and OGK-1.

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European currencies continue to feel very confident

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

European currencies continue to feel very confident on the background of the growth stock index and the overall positive attitude of investors in risky operations. For example, during the trading day on Monday the main pair of the Forex market was able to gain a higher mark of 1.42 dollars per euro. Investors welcomed the news that the largest creditors of American small and medium business bank CIT Group was able to negotiate with the holders of its bonds to provide him financial assistance. Published yesterday, the index of leading economic indicators Conference Board in June showed an increase of 0.7%, which was better than the consensus-forecast.

mixed macroeconomic data were published Monday in the UK, but despite this, the pound strengthened markedly against the American position of a competitor. Money supply (aggregate M4) in the UK in June fell by 0.2% (-3.2 billion pounds) compared with May - the worst trend for the last 4 years. There is still slowing the pace of bank lending. Click to continue »

Villagers harvest crumble

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

harvested Strada and mass market release of new crop grain traders a free hand: prices this season at 20% below last year, and it is possible that they will fall further. Pay less to farmers and allow new Standards, according to which the grain, even yesterday, the former food became fodder. Given that currency cheaper cereals almost at times, it can be assumed that the coming marketing season will be one of the most profitable for local traders for the entire recent history of Ukraine.

Despite a good qualitative and quantitative indicators, the current crop are not happy villagers. Procurement prices for grain in Ukraine has declined and to date do not exceed 900-950 UAH. /T of wheat and 890 grn. /Tonne of barley, which at least 20% lower than in the corresponding period last year.

Analyst Company UkrAgroConsult Elizabeth Malyshko not exclude that in the near future a price collapse continues - the cost of wheat will fall a further 50-70 grn. /t and barley - 20-30 uah. /t. She explains that the trend decline in activity in the world grain market: the price of barley in the last month proseli at $ 10-15 /t (up to $ 150 /t), and wheat - at $ 25-30 /t (up to $ 125-130 /t).

should not discount the personal interest and traders. Given that this year the majority of households are in very straitened financial situation and try to sell the grain as quickly as possible, wholesalers are able to dictate their terms to them.

The situation is exacerbated by the fact that in this season by 30-40% (up to 30-40 hrv. /t) went up service elevators, so lay the crop in storage in anticipation of more favorable pricing environment, can not all farmers , - said director of the AAA Sergey Nalivka. Already on the resale of grain traders have the opportunity to earn up to $ 50 /t.

Experts predict that with the fall of prices in world markets will grow at 10-15% per month, which will allow exporters time bought up crops, to get even more profit - up to $ 100 /t.
Earnings

villagers also reduced due to the introduction of new guests to the grain, which came into force on 1 July this year. If the class of products is determined depending on the percentage of protein in it, but today the main point of reference is called gluten, which, according to Mr. Click to continue »

In the early days to fix the profit speculators pushing red at the opening of futures trades in America

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009

Even yesterday afternoon, Bears have become crowd bulls on the domestic stock market. Today, the players on the downturn is a very good chance of more vividly express yourself.

In the early days to fix the profit and the opening of short positions, in addition to the local local perekuplennosti shares, speculators pushed red at the opening of futures trades in America, the negative trend in the markets of China and the decline of oil on world commodity markets.

However, taking into account the situation of strong levels of support for the Russian stock charts and indexes, and the fact that the ocean ADRs our companies feel quite confident we would not have been the morning to enter the new shorts, and just tried to be more profitable to buy shares previously sold.

Build short positions in the current situation does not want. Ovchinka may not be worth dressing, given yesterday evening Drawdown quotations from sessional maxima, present the potential collapse of popular stocks seen in the 0.5 - 1%. This potential can be realized at the opening of bids, and by the beginning of the European stock exchanges over the situation may turn in favor of the bulls.

Note that if today a negative percentage deviation quotes from yesterday's closing levels not exceed 1 - 2%, it will be possible to put another fat check for the validity of a puncture of the May bear trend.

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