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In times of crisis and change yesterday's values into nothing, and sectors of the economy, which only yesterday seemed attractive, are struggling for survival. But at a time, and there are new companies that are from Venture into a new market leaders.
Recently the company Berkshire Hathaway billionaire Warren Buffett came to the capital medical equipment manufacturer Becton Dickinson (USA). Perhaps that is not just good reporting has attracted investors, but also some development of the company, its ability to create a unique product, and with it a new market. All new and emerging pandemics, such as porcine influenza manufacturers offer a very broad perspective. According to Buffett, who is known for its long-term investments, he sees increased demand on medical equipment, as well as many nations, including China, are increasing their spending on health care.
Another notable investment idea, which has long been at the hearing, are green or clean technology investments, such as those that help increase energy efficiency and reduce the economic dependence on fossil fuels. According to the new U.S. administration, namely, investment in new sectors of the economy and energy efficiency should help the United States to overcome the crisis and not just start a new round, as a new economic growth. That is why the U.S. administration intends to invest hundreds of billions of dollars in the development of new technologies and create jobs in industries that provide energy efficiency and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. However, there is great risk that the flywheel, promoted budgetary subsidies, stop, stop as soon as funds arrive.
Entirely new market can be a market for electric potential of which has already divided between the leading automotive groups Volkswagen and Renault. During the rapid growth of the market, which is expectedsometime after five years, these companies will be able to remove the cream. The Government of Germany, the automotive countries in Europe, intends to produce 2020 million electric vehicles, which provided an impressive amount of 500 million euros. It was expected that available to most urban electric vehicles will be in Denmark in 2011, and in Germany in 2012-m. At the same time, will develop the infrastructure items replacement batteries throughout the country.
Of course, there is a risk that instead of the object of long-term investment in the market inflate the next bubble. According to the rector of the Russian Economic School Sergei Guriev, it is possible to predict the inevitability of inflation next bubble in the economy. We have already had the information technology bubble in 2001, now - the financial bubble. I can assume that the following will be linked to biotechnology or alternative energy sources, - concluded the expert.
He agrees Michael Aristakesyan, director of information and analysis on world markets IC FINAM. He advises not to forget the bubble DOT-Komov and look at the real profits of companies in the first place, paying no attention to the fashion of an industry, and loud statements. New technology is not as easy here as in gold mining: find a nugget while, will have to change a bunch of rocks. Now everything reminds DOT-coma, all of whom not laziness write the prefix nano, and that there is nano plainly, no one knows . The same can be said about stem cell research - an analyst warns. For investment in new technology requires not only knowledge of finance, a deeper knowledge to gain insight into the topic, how the project feasible in terms of ideology and physics, thinks Michael Aristakesyan.
How to distinguish a good investment idea from inflate the bubble or grain from the darnel? The wave of raises all fish at once: both good and bad, and large and small - said Mr. Aristakesyan. - But there is a pattern. When new technologies are just beginning to grow and attract new investors, they estimate a very inflated, all expect significant growth in profits in excess of natural growth. In this situation, in his opinion, it is necessary to rely on the traditional approach to evaluate cash flow, increase profits, etc. These things do not change from what technology sector and we are considering. The financial analysis was not repealed.
Top events affecting Russian market
| Event | Rating; | Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| MACROECONOMICS | ||
| overall situation in world stock markets | B | |
| The macroeconomic situation in the USA | D | |
| Macroeconomic situation in Russia | B | |
| POLICY | ||
| Medvedev held talks with President Voronin of Moldova | C | |
| COMMODITY MARKETS | ||
| level of world oil prices | In | |
| level of world prices for metals | P | |
| SECTORAL AND CORPORATE NEWS | ||
| Irkut conducted flight tests of the first training and combat aircraft Yak-130 | C | |
| Gazprom will receive a share in gas Bergermeer in the Netherlands | B | |
| Vladimir Putin: Pattern of recovery of Sayano-Shushenskaya hydroelectric power station should be developed within 6 weeks | In | |
NOTE:
- most powerful influence on the market have an event with A-rated events with top D on our scale, have little influence.
- Sections Macroeconomics and commodity markets in column 2 in the brackets can be specified rating the previous day.
- Arrow down in the column 3 points to the likely negative impact on the market, the arrow up - the positive /neutral.
Investment
background - moderately positive