August 28th, 2009

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Vladimir Putin suggested the Bank to increase lending

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Prime Minister Vladimir Putin offered the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development to increase lending by changing some rules in the statute.

If you change some of the statutory rules on the ratio between equity capital and the possibility of granting credit, then you can significantly increase the volume of loans at good rates, even without increasing those rates, - Vladimir Putin said at a meeting with EBRD President Thomas Mirow.

We are closely watching the preparations for your new program for Russia in 2010-2012. The Bank is well capitalized and has the opportunity to attract a sufficiently large amount of resources, and at a fairly good conditions, - said Vladimir Putin.

At the same time he stressed that Russia and the bank very good, longstanding relationship. According to Putin, the EBRD has financed projects in Russia more than $ 11 billion, with a very important sectors of the economy. Click to continue »

Cabinet resolved to pass the technical inspection of cars in the traffic police before July 1, 2010

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Cabinet resolved to pass the technical inspection of cars in the traffic police before July 1, 2010 A decree number 892 Government adopted August 19, 2009, the press service of GAI. Mentioned decision amended paragraph 31 of the Cabinet of Ministers on July 9, 2008 number 606, which is set out in this editorial: To establish that prior to July 1, 2010, in the absence within the district business entities which are authorized to conduct inspection of technical condition wheeled vehicles during a state inspection, checking the technical condition of vehicles is carried out in paragraphs technical control traffic police, which are located in the area.

That is, for the convenience of car ownership, traffic police offices to service areas where there are no authorized to inspect the technical condition of business entities are allowed to own as it was before, to control the technical condition of vehicles specially equipped for the technical control points. Click to continue »

Growing European indexes and futures on major U.S. indices

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Growing European indexes and futures on major U.S. indices. Support is being provided positive statements of U.S. companies, as well as the expectation of improved macroeconomic evidence of positive developments in the global economy. Thus, looking at the dynamics of the stock and commodity markets can conclude that the world economy is steadily emerging from the crisis, which can not but rejoice. On the other hand, prices of many assets are significant improvements in the next six months or a year. In this connection, you must be very careful, because Any portion of negative statistics can cause a significant decrease, as the stock and commodity markets, which have recently grow cautiously at each other. Among the negative trends should be noted the negative dynamics of the composite index of freight rates, which indirectly may indicate, albeit a small deceleration in world trade. Click to continue »

Opinion: Freeze NBU on early withdrawal of deposits may suspend the rate of flow of public funds into the banking system

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Freeze

National Bank of Ukraine on early withdrawal of deposits from the accounts may suspend the rate of flow of public funds into the banking system of Ukraine. This is today's press conference, said the head of information-analytical center Forex Club Nikolay Ivchenko.

He recalled that the deposit of businesses and individuals on August 1, 2009 are 23,3% of all liabilities of banks and their share is gradually decreasing. Since January 2009, the population has withdrawn from the banking system of 22.7 billion UAH and returned 9.8 billion UAH - 43,2%.

According N. Ivchenko, the initiative of NBU concerning the prohibition of early withdrawal from term accounts had to be led before the crisis, the stable period. People may perceive this move negatively, as a result of the end of the year in the banking system will return about 4 billion UAH, if we assume that the order will begin work in September, instead of 8.9 billion UAH, if this change will not be given, -- he said. Click to continue »

Asia: rising prices for raw materials and corporate reporting broken the previous day's correction

Friday, August 28th, 2009

 

Friday, August 28, the vast majority of Asian stock markets finished the day in positive territory against reporting companies Harvey Norman Holdings and Dell, rising prices for raw materials and increased risk appetite.

As a result of trades regional index MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced by 0,5%. Japanese Nikkei 225 gained strength at 0.57%, Australia SP /ASX 200 rose by 0.87%, while South Korea's Kospi added 0.54% of the cost. Leader growth was Pakistani Karachi 100, an increase of 2.72%. Not supported by the overall positive dynamics of only the stock markets of China, Hong Kong and Malaysia.

Shares in Australia's largest consumer electronics retailer Harvey Norman Holdings soared 17% against the backdrop of reports that overcomes the expectations of analysts. Thus, the net profit for the fiscal year ending June 30 fell by 40% to A $ 214,4 million ($ 180 million), while the estimated value of the index of A $ 199,3 million

Quotations of the manufacturer of digital cameras and mobile phones Casio Computer advanced by 8,5%. According to the newspaper Yomiuri, Casio, NEC and Hitachi are in talks about combining business of producing mobile phones in April. Market share in Japan joint venture, in which the NEC, is likely to belong to more than 50% of the shares may exceed 20%. NEC Market capitalization increased by 0,6%, and the paper Hitachi recovered at 1,6%.

Shares of commodity companies have completed trades with the growth against the background of the increased cost of oil and metals. For example, quotes the largest in Japan, the company engaged in oil exploration, Inpex rose by 1,9%, the paper's second-largest in Australia oilman Woodside Petroleum advanced to 1,8%. The market capitalization of the world's largest mining company BHP Billiton rose by 0,5%.

Shopping prevailed also in the technology sector. The second-largest global PC maker Dell reported sales and profits in the second quarter surpassed analysts' expectations, due to the fact that the company managed to reduce production costs and attract new buyers of inexpensive laptops. Against this background, won the rally in Taiwan suppliers Dell, as well as Asian manufacturers notebooks. Thus, quotes Quanta Computer and Compal Electronics have moved on 2,7% and 2,2% respectively. Paper Acer recovered at 3,5%. Analysts have revised rating of HSBC Holdings shares the latter with worse than the market to neutral, and experts Goldman Sachs Group raised its target price by 19%.

Quotes of the largest market value in Asia, the company engaged in shipping, China Cosco Holdings fell by 4,7% after the publication of the report that the carrier has completed the first half with a loss.

Values of the basic indexes on closing are resulted in the table:

Index Country Closing (items) Delta day (items) Change day (%) value at beginning of year (the last closing in 2008) Change YTD
SP /ASX 200 Australia 4,489.60 38.80 0.87% 3722.30 20.61%
All Ordinaries Australia 4,495.90 37.80 0.85% 3659.30 22.86%
Ho Chi Minh Vietnam 536.53 9.49 1.8% 315.62 69.99%
Hang Seng Hong Kong 20,098.62 -144.13 -0.71% 14387.48 39.70%
Hang Seng H-shares Hong Kong 11,433.98 -136.69 -1.18% 7891.80 44.88%
BSE 30 (Sensex) India 15,889.73 108.66 0.69% 9647.31 64.71%
Jakarta Composite Indonesia 2,377.25 21.18 0.9% 1355.41 75.39 %
Shanghai A-shares China 3,002.03 -90.09 -2.91% 1911.79 57.03%
CSI 300 China 3,046.78 -109.52 -3.47% 1817.72 67.62%
KLSE Composite Malaysia 1,174.27 -2.63 -0.22% 876.75 33.93%
NZSE 50 New Zealand 3,109.34 32.93 1.07% 2715.71 14.49%
Karachi 100 Pakistan 8,541.22 226.06 2.72% 5865.01 45.63%
Straits Times Singapore 2,642.80 0.57 0.02% 1761.56 50.03%
Bangkok SET Thailand 470.69 3.92 0.84% 449.96 4.61%
TAIEX Taiwan 6,809.86 119.11 1.78% 4591.22 48.32%
PSEi Philippines 2,553.96 2.78 0.1% 1872.85 36.37%
Colombo All - Shares Sri Lanka 2,601.50 13.46 0.52 % 1503.02 73.08%
KOSPI South Korea 1,607.94 8.61 0.54% 1124.47 43.00%
Nikkei 225 Japan 10,534.14 60.17 0.57% 8859.56 18.90%
Topix Japan 969.31 5.08 0.53% 859.24 12.81%

Click to continue »

Review of the FOREX market for 27.08.09

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Dynamics

U.S. dollar fell sharply against other currencies in the second half of the North American session. When the pair EUR /USD rose to 1.4400 area, the pair GBP /USD recovered to 1.6300, and the pair USD /CHF fell to a mark 1.0530.

Japanese yen strengthened slightly against the U.S. dollar, but lost its position against the euro. When the pair USD /JPY has updated at least on a mark of 93.20, and the pair EUR /JPY rose to near 135.00 mark.

Commodity currencies rebounded against the U.S. dollar. Thus, the pair AUD /USD rose again in the 0.8400 area, a pair NZD /USD rose to 0.6900, and the pair USD /CAD has fallen to a mark 1.0830.

Causes

Until decline of the dollar trades were very restrained, and the published data on U.S. gross domestic product almost no impact on their course. However, later growth of stock indexes and oil prices in a low volume of trades has led to that market participants have begun sharply to get rid of the dollar and buy riskier currencies, thus triggering their ambitious growth against American.

What to expect?

sharp reversals in the trend indicates a lack of consensus in the market, whereas as we approach the end of the month there are private changing positions, amplifying low liquidity. Click to continue »

The last trading session this week on the equity market will develop in a downward direction

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Russia

The positive dynamics of U.S. stock indexes the previous day, was associated with restoration of the interest of market participants to oil and gas, thereby supporting the player bets on continued growth. For this reason, the direction of U.S. currency and government debt securities remained downward. Thus, a broad market index SP 500 broke a two-week decline, adding 0.3% by attempting to keep the current position within 3 trading days in a row.

Our opinion: The last trading session this week on the equity market is likely to be consistent with the overall dynamics of the two previous days, and grow in a downward direction. It is worth noting that the support in the form of 200 hour moving average, is a short-term benchmark for market participants, and the degree of closeness to it creates an ambiguous situation in which the mood of participants is likely to split into two camps with one side in its efforts to trying to bring down the penetration of inertial downward wave. At the same time trying the other half of the players-oriented rehabilitation can be successful if supported by macroeconomic statistics related to the sentiment index in August in the U.S., expected towards the end of the trading day.

Europe

European stock markets were stable on Thursday, as rising bank shares outweighed the decline in the beverage market, caused by the fact that Diageo has lowered the profit forecast. Nevertheless, the closure of European markets held in negative zone bidding. Credit Agricole shares added 5.6 percent after the largest retail bank in France reported on quarterly earnings that exceeded forecasts, thanks to good results in the investment unit and asset management. Quotes Diageo, the world's largest producer of alcoholic drinks fell by 2.96 percent as the company reduced its profit forecast for the current year due to the global downturn, although its annual profit rose 10 percent.


FT-SE 100 -21.23 -0.43%
DAX -51.64 -0.94%
CAC40 -19.81 -0.54%

Asia

Asian markets show the dynamics of differently directed against the backdrop of positive results of Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd. and Dell Inc. surpassed the expectations of market participants, once again giving hope for the restoration of the world economy. Harvey Norman - Australia's largest retailer of consumer electronics industry grew by 17% at the auction in Sydney. Acer Inc. - The third largest producer of computer equipment rose by 3,5% against a background of increasing brokerage recommendations. Casio Computer Co. - Rose by 8,5% in trading in Tokyo after a message appears stating that the company integrates the production of mobile phones from NEC Corp. and Hitachi Ltd.

NIKKEI 225 60.17 0.57%
HANG SENG INDEX -193.54 -0.96%
SHANGHAI SE A SHARE INDX -90.09 -2.91%
SHANGHAI SE B SHARE INDX -3.72 -1.84%
KOSPI INDEX 8.61 0.54%

U.S.

The American stock market on Thursday closed in positive territory, having played a decrease in the beginning of the session due to a rise in price of oil, as well as the successes of theaviation and financial sectors. The main stock market barometer of the U.S., the index of DJIA, grew up during the eighth consecutive session after the stock aircraft builder Boeing Co., Which added 8.4 per cent due to the message that the 787 Dreamliner aircraft by the end of the year made its first flight. In the first three weeks of session, shares rose in early trading, but by the end declined. However, this model proved to be irrelevant to the end of the week, when delineated against the backdrop of the rise in demand for paper-oil sector. On Thursday, U.S. light crude rose $ 1.06 to $ 72.49 per barrel. Promotions ConocoPhillips prices increased by 0,3 percent. Investors are once again interested in distressed financial companies. Papers of insurance company American International Group Inc surged almost 27 percent after the new CEO Robert Benmosh indicated his reluctance to sell assets.

DJIA 37.11 0.39%
SP 500 2.86 0.28%
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX 3.30 0.16%
NASDAQ 100 3.97 0.24%

Closure Trading ADR GDR in the western areas has been mostly positive.

Gazprom 1,10%
Rosneft -0,02%
Surgutneftegaz 0,55%
Norilsk Nickel 1,81%
Rostelecom 0,28%
Gazpromneft 0,58%

Prices are per 1 share

* ratio of closing price of receipts on U.S. exchanges and Europe to the closing price of shares on the MICEX.

Recommendation: From the main macroeconomic statistics suggest note on personal income and spending in July, as well as the University of Michigan sentiment index. The data will be published in the 16-30 and 17-55 Moscow time.

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Who got the dollar at 8.16 UAH

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Cheap dollars bought by banks from the NBU to Spetstorm more on Tuesday at 8 grn. /$ on Thursday it was possible to buy only with the attendant good luck (ie the presence of familiar bankers). Our correspondent in search of bucks walked ten branches of different banks, but did not find him. It is noteworthy that in most obmenok rate has not moved either to the penny. We bought a population of 8,35, sold - to 8,45-8,53 UAH.

In the Forum, UPB, offices Oshchadbanka and Privat dollars to 8,15-8,16 grn. allegedly in the morning. I did not have time to buy, but because people in the morning were recorded in the queue! I was informed that the two cashier gave only $ 40 thousand, - told to us by one colleague Natalia, who attempted to buy the currency in the morning at the head office UPB. Before dinner, we ran out of currency. We are waiting for the results of bidding NBU, if our application will meet in the morning U.S. will once again be - told us a specialist in public relations UPB Andrey Shevtsov. NBU required banks to sell the currency bought from him for five days, with the rate should not exceed 2% of the amount paid for it. Click to continue »

Today, Russia's stock market will likely continue to increase paper telecom

Friday, August 28th, 2009

Published yesterday, the revised data on U.S. GDP for the second quarter were better than forecast: market participants are expected to fall 1.5%, in fact, it was only 1%. At the same time, the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the states for the week fell slightly less than forecast: up to 570 thousand against 565 thousand expected, but the tendency in any case positive.

Today is expected to yield a large number of macroeconomic statistics, including the revised UK GDP for 2 nd quarter (12.30 Moscow time), the index of business climate in the euro area in August (13.00 Moscow time), personal income /spending and core consumer price index for July in the U.S. (16.30 Moscow time), as well as the index of consumer confidence in the University of Michigan in August (17.55 Moscow time).

The encouraging data of the American Statistical overseas stock indexes continue to grow. On Thursday, the Dow Jones index closed in positive territory at 0.4%, S P500 - 0.3%. Their futures now traded in the 0-second mark. But oil prices went up by 3%, quotes, Brent and Light Sweet again came to the mark of 72.50 dollars per barrel. Eurodollar traded at around 1.4360.

Today, Russia's stock market in the first half of the day are expected to purchase a wide range of securities, primarily commodity. Likely continue to rise and paper telecom. It is possible that during the day the bulls once again try to overcome the resistance level 1100p. the RTS index and 1130p. on MICEX. In the case of breakdown of these levels, the following objectives will be: 1200p. (RTS) and 1230p. (MICEX).

Today Board of Directors of the RTS it was decided to extend the daily trading session on the Stock Exchange to 18.45 Moscow time. Thus, from August 28 to the primary trading session in all the markets will take place from 10.30 to 18.45, and an evening trading session (on the RTS Standard and FORTS) - from 19.00 to 23.50.

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Now oil is trading at $ 2 per barrel higher than it was yesterday, respectively, are prerequisites for the opening of 1,5-2% gepom top

Friday, August 28th, 2009

recommend you wait a period of high volatility in the markets in the money

the markets volatility remains high, supported by the uncertainty of further movement in currency and commodity platforms. The fact that the future movement will be very strong - no one in doubt. Accordingly, increasing the risk to be in a position that is opposite to the general movement. Therefore, we recommend that investors are not willing to take higher risk to go to cash and wait out the tense moment in the money. Join the new movement is always possible to catch, especially since it does not end one day. Yesterday evening, after the close of trading on the MICEX quotation for Brent oil futures made a rapid off from the mark of $ 70 per barrel. Now oil is trading at $ 2 per barrel higher than it was yesterday. Accordingly, there are all preconditions for the opening of 1.5-2%-s gepom top of Russia's stock market. In addition, the chance of hourly charts of shares of oil companies' bullish divergence of MACD, which could lead to a massive growth market.

Levels 1100 and 1130 points on the MICEX Index, which still remains a key technical marks.

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