September 2nd, 2009

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The second tier RTS2 grown to 0,27% by buying shares in Aeroflot, Bashneft and Volgatelekoma

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

Results of the auction: the old favorites - telecom

Bidding on domestic exchanges opened lower (~ 2% on MICEX), and during the day were traded in negative zone. On the positive data on layoffs in the U.S. indexes Russia reacted weakly.

Before closing the auction, after publication of the Department of Energy data on the reduction of crude oil, Russia's indexes have grown slightly, but closed below the closing levels Tuesday. The MICEX index fell by 2.6% to 1076.69 item, RTS index - by 1.9% to 1053.7 p.

However, the index of second tier stocks RTS2 grew at 0.27% by buying shares in Aeroflot, Bashneft and Volgatelekoma.

bidding activity remained at the level of Tuesday. Turnover of shares included in the MICEX index, was 52.1 billion rubles.

All sectoral indices MICEX except telecoms (1.5%) showed decline. Because on the eve of the fall in prices for industrial metals (an index of commodity markets SRB decreased by 2%) the weakest of the company looked metallurgy (-5.5% on MICEX sectoral indices), including Mechel (-10%), NLMK (-9%) , Severstal (-8%), Norilsk Nickel (-4%).

favorite among the index securities are the same - Uralsvyazinform (6.6%), Volgatelecom (5%) and Aeroflot (3.4%). The last 5 trading sessions the stock Volgatelekoma and Uralsvyazinform risen more than 20%.

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BP opened a new oil field in the Gulf of Mexico

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

British BP Plc., the second largest market value of the oil company in Europe, announced the opening of a giant oil field in the Tiber Prospect in the deepwater zone of the Gulf of Mexico, belonging to the United States, reported Bloomberg.

The company estimates that the deposit contains more than 3 billion barrels of oil equivalent.

well located at a distance of 400 kmto the south-east of Houston in the 102 block of Canyon Kitli. Its depth is 10.69 thousand meters. Well is one of the deepest ever drilled oil and gas companies, the report said BP.

field will allow BP to increase production of oil and gas in the Gulf of Mexico by 50% - up to 600 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day after 2020.

Field development will take time, it will take the entire second half of the next decade, but it is a very important discovery - the analyst Jonathan Rigby.

Tiber is the second significant discovery of BP in the Gulf of Mexico after a previously discovered deposits Kaskida, - said chief executive officer of BP exploration and production Andy Inglis. Click to continue »

It is better to look the other bank shares today, in particular the paper Savings Bank, which declined slightly

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

Day is not specified from the very morning: Russia's trading session opened with 2% gepom down on the background of negative dynamics of equity indicators in the United States and falls on stock exchanges in Asia. However, constraint initially were oil prices, which were fairly stable in relation to the regular publication of the American Petroleum Institute data showing a decline of oil reserves of petroleum products. Also supportive is the liquidity situation, which also provides support to the market, thus constraining the rate of decline. During the day, most liquid stocks decreased within 2-3%, but closer to the evening dynamics worsened. In separate papers falling over 9%, primarily we are talking about actions NLMK. Steel sector suffered a drop in prices for industrial metals on the London Metal Exchange. It is better to look the other shares of the banking segment and in particular the paper Savings Bank, which declined slightly.

The market seems firmly intends to enter into a period of corrective decline, which is quite justified, especially when you consider that really a serious correction, we have not seen for a long time. To continue the rally needed much more serious reasons than just the hope that the world economy returns to growth. In addition, the alarming bells coming from China - so to speak, hope and reliance of investors. According to the statistics, the situation in the Chinese economy is not as favorable as desired. Currently support to the market may have high liquidity and the continued growth in commodity markets.

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Today, the red background of Russia's stock market successfully highlighted the soaring shares Aeroflot and UTair

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

Speculators on the equity market continues rat race in the narrow side corridor.

We are close to an active strategy, but now come with the quotes in the fight for a penny, we have no desire. We quietly observe the signals of the market and intuitively expect the action below, but in principle, ready to play for the bulls, if suddenly will be punched through the resistance. If you find us cowards - that means that you will never extract from the side views, and you have not smelled the gunpowder.

Without money and without cause, we do not sit. Profit we regularly bring well-chosen back in August the paper second tier. Last week, give us a hand paper FGC UES. Today, the red background of Russia's stock market successfully highlighted the soaring shares Aeroflot and UTair. Most likely, the increase in airline stocks is related to an official statement the airline KD avia that in relation to the highly indebted to the creditors of the company, from September 1, 2009 sale of traffic on all flights suspended.

We have great respect for, shares of Aeroflot and UTair and often not only diversify their medium, but also speculative portfolios. Therefore, in addition to a nice profit in the medium-term portfolios, they have encouraged and increased trading volume on them. It is likely that the shares of Aeroflot on the sly to reach the peak year, unless, of course, hooked over the support of 36.5 rubles (line correction on the Fibonacci 61.8% to the fall of quotations from April to July 2009) and shares of UTair be able to catch up to the psychological resistance of 7 rubles.

choosing a trading strategy in the current environment, relate not risk and profitability, and moral costs and possible profit.

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Gambling draft

Promulgated by the concept of the draft law about the game business in Ukraine …

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

After the signing of the President of Ukraine Law On the prohibition of gambling business in Ukraine all gambling were outlawed. Instead, the Cabinet of Ministers was instructed during the three months to develop and submit to parliament a new law to work in the industry.

month prior to the completion of the allotted term of the Cabinet of Ministers of the law has not yet announced, but late last week on the website of the Ministry of Finance introduced the concept of the draft Law of Ukraine On state regulation of activities in the field of gaming.

This document proposes that host gambling establishments or within settlements or for them - in special gambling zones. Thus, in the gaming areas outside thelocalities want to be allowed to work a casino, betting offices, the halls of slot machines, electronic (virtual) gambling. Moreover, such gaming zones can be organized solely on the lands of state or municipal property.

entrepreneurs wishing to create a gaming house, must take part in a land auction to lease the land. Developers Concepts offer prohibit transfer to private ownership plots of land, which will be located such gaming zones. Outside the same towns gaming zones are encouraged to develop only in the premises of hotels with a status of at least four stars. They will work only casino.

license fees for the organization and conduct of gambling in casinos and in the halls of slot machines offer set at two million hryvnia for betting shops and electronic (virtual) casinos - one million hryvnia, and 5 million hryvnia - per license manufacturing, wholesale and retail sale of gaming equipment. And offer to make a perpetual license, which was not before.

also licenses its concept to the Finance Ministry proposes to issue to each gaming location special addition to the license. Click to continue »

Fonterra: milk prices surged to a maximum of one year, subsidies in the U.S. and the EU time to cancel

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

recovery in world demand for milk prices are inflated to the maximum for the year and led the New Zealand Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd., the largest exporter of dairy products in the world, extremely economical use of incoming raw materials, reports Bloomberg.

prices for whole milk powder at the monthly auction Fonterra jumped by 25% - up to $ 2,872 per tonne, its highest level since September last year. Recovering demand, declining production of dairy products in the U.S. and supply shortage in Australia and New Zealand have led to a sharp rise in prices than expected.

We use all the milk to drop to fill orders for the next quarter - said managing director of international trade Fonterra Calvin Vikem. - The market has become more balanced, but the sudden nirvana can not speak.

Fonterra - cooperative, combining more than 11 thousand New Zealand farmers - controls about 40% of world trade in butter, milk powder and cheese.

milk prices have fallen in July to a minimum of 5 years, as consumer demand declined faster than production, and in the U.S. Click to continue »

Today hryvnia notes birthday

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

September 2, 1996, in accordance with the decree of then President Leonid Kuchma, Ukraine has started currency reform. In turn introduced the national currency of Ukraine - UAH, and the hundredth part of it - kopek.

On this day of fixed exchange rate were transferred to the hryvnia prices, rates, salaries, wages, scholarships, pensions, funds in the accounts of enterprises, institutions and organizations, as well as the contributions of citizens. Ruble deposits from the public were listed in the rate of UAH 100 000 karbovanets hryvnia for one without any restrictions and confiscations of their free use in UAH. The average salary in Ukraine on 1 January 1997 amounted to 143 UAH. (at the rate 1,89 grn. for $ 1).

For 15 days - from 2 to 16 September 1996 - cash in circulation at the same time freely used as the hryvnia, and karbovanetses with the gradual withdrawal of the latter. After September 16, 1996 reception karbovanets was discontinued, and the only legal tender in the territory of Ukraine since the moment and still is the hryvnia.

However, the time for the introduction of the hryvnia was elected not quite suitable. The currency reform was not supported by other activities in the field of taxation, fiscal policy, as evidenced by the concentration of nearly half the money in subsequent years in the shadow economy, a significant predominance of the population buying foreign currency on its sale.

hryvnia rate rose nearly two years, constrained by tight monetary policy - an artificial underestimation of the money supply on the gross domestic product, which intensified the shortage of money at the hryvnia. Click to continue »

Forex Asia

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

index of the Tokyo Stock Exchange Nikkei (Nikkei) fell 249.60 points (-2.37%) and closed at 10280.46. Yield of 10-year Japanese government bonds is 1.300 (dropped from the previous closing on 0.025). Index of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Haeng Seng (Hang Seng) fell 299.87 points (-1.51%) and is located at 19572.43.

The euro /yen continued its decline and fell to the Asian session to the level of 131.43, a minimum of 15 July. Course dollar /yen has fallen to a mark of 92.50, the lowest since 13 July. The euro /dollar fell to 1.4189 level. It is noted that due to falling stock indexes yesterday and today on the forex market, were observed selling the riskier instruments and buying yen and dollars.

Subsequently, several courses of these instruments to be adjusted. Support for them had the appreciation of the Australian dollar after a high index value of GDP in Australia, as well as the growth stock index in Shanghai.

Today, investors' attention will be directed to the publication of important economic data in the United States. Click to continue »

Rate EUR / USD in the coming days will continue to bear trend, but such dynamics will be quite volatile in nature

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

According to yesterday's information, the U.S. index of business climate in the manufacturing sector, calculated ISM, in August of this year risen to a mark of 52.9 points, and the first time since July 2008 reached the levels, reflecting the expansion in this sector of the economy. Average market forecast and the value of the previous figure for this indicator equaled 50.5 and 48.9 points respectively.

rate dynamics of planned sales in the housing market of America in July 2009 added 3.2% (m /m) against 3.6% in June this year and the expected average growth of the index specialists to 1,5%. Its value, which amounted in this case 97,6 Fri was thus a maximum of two years.

somewhat disappointed investors sector investment in risk could only be released on Tuesday the information indicator of the cost of construction in America, who in July 2009 declined by 0,2% (m /m) with an average forecast of its reduction on 0,1% and revised in this case with a decrease to 0,1% (m /m) against 0.3% previous rate of change of the index in June 2009

However, the overall macro-economic statistics of the United States, published yesterday, appears to be sufficiently supportive, while maintaining its positive trend, formed in recent months.

Against this background, a fairly significant decrease in quotations of world stock, commodity markets, it developed yesterday in the U.S. session, it appears as a consequence of technical factors, and, obviously, uncertainty about the upcoming release on Friday is traditionally important for the market data on the number of employed in industries outside of agriculture America. Markets continue to monitor closely the evidence of the potential sustainability of the positive processes caused by the monetary policy of enabling the world's major governing bodies, primarily the U.S. and China.

In this connection it is worth noting that the financial authorities of the leading nations of the world in recent months have repeatedly demonstrated the market bear their determination to succeed in the ongoing policy of economic recovery regulators.

possible, and in September 2009, taking into account the very important political events in Germany and China, which will be held in the coming weeks, will not be in this case an exception.

The investment segment now operates a large number of funds which, while preserving funds in the money markets in recent months, in fact underestimated the current investment opportunities in risk. If the regulatory structure will once again demonstrate the financial sector because of its fundamental position, the means of these operators can market in the coming months to substantially support stability above all - the sector of corporate securities.

Regarding the impact of such a scenario for the medium situation in FX, then in this case, against the backdrop of a possible increased monetary support to the economy EU member states and a number of other leading countries in the world - which in recent quarters have shown partly waiting position in the financial macroeconomic Incentive - quotations USD on the international market may appear to demonstrate a significant increase in the end.

EUR /USD rate up to yesterday's trading was below the important support zone at 1,4270-1,4300. Perhaps in the coming days, this currency pair will continue to bear trend, but such dynamics in the case of its development from the perspective of exchange rate changes will be, apparently, quite volatile in nature.

Quotes of the ruble against the currency to the USD and the basket on MICEX today by 10:30 Moscow time were 31.98 and 38.08 rubles. against, respectively, 31.78 and 38.06 rubles. in morning trading Monday.

In general, from the perspective of the next few weeks, a trend indicator of the relative value of RUB in the global FX continues to appear even with the lowered is possible in this period as a result of favorable developments in the financial markets of Russia.

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Asian stock exchanges are mostly reduced, playing a collapse of commodity quotes and American sites

Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

European shares by the end of the trading session yesterday, seriously subsided. The big block of macroeconomic data for the euro area as a whole and for individual countries of the region proved to be highly controversial, and statistics from the U.S. even slightly cheered investors, but the focus turned out to corporate results and recommendations of analytic units, which in this day and caused fall. Shares of technology companies were among the victims, as Credit Suisse Group lowered its recommendation on the securities Nokia, and Exane BNP Paribas recommended selling shares of Royal Philips Electronics. In addition, shares of the latter going to exclude from Dow Jones Stoxx 50 Index, which added a negative. Obscherynochny negative engulfed all sectors and among leaders of falling were shares of the champions of the recent growth, in particular of paper financial institutions. Shares of energy companies were also among the outsiders because of collapsed oil quotations, which followed obscherynochnoy trend. Click to continue »