September 25th, 2009

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Dollar exchange rate is saved without changes - the morning review of cash markets

Friday, September 25th, 2009

25.09.09 condition at 10:00 the Kiev most banks and exchange offices (CEMs) have kept the course of sale and purchase 1 USD at the level of yesterday. Buying rate was 8.5000 UAH, sales - 8.5400 UAH.

Offers

Banks and Brokers to purchase 1 USD fluctuate within 8.4200 - 8.5200 UAH.

best offer to buy 1 USD at this time set in the following Banks and Brokers:
8.5200 UAH - Artem-Bank;; EUROBANK;; Synthesis;; Trust-Capital;;
8.5150 UAH - Pivdencombank KO;; Pivdencombank KF;; Nick;;

Offers

Banks and Brokers to sell 1 USD fluctuate within 8.5350 - 8.5800 UAH.

best offer on sale of 1 USD at this time set in the following Banks and Brokers:
8.5350 UAH - Aktiv-Bank;; Legbank;; Olympic Ukraine;; Akroprom;; Arsenal;; Nike;;
8.5400 UAH - Business Standard;; Bohuslav;; Diamantbank;; EUROGASBANK CO;; National Capital;; Premium;; Prominvestbank;; Pivdencombank KO;; Pivdencombank KF;; Unexbank;; Unexbank number; 1; Altair-group;; Artada;; EURO;; margin;;

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Today

Banks and Brokers most often buy 1 EUR price 12.5000 UAH, which is cheaper at 5.00 kopeks. than yesterday and the offer price 12.6500 UAH, that is different from yesterday's rate.

Offers

Banks and Brokers to buy 1 EUR ranging 12.3300 - 12.5310 UAH.

bestoffer to buy 1 EUR at this time set in the following Banks and Brokers:
12.5310 UAH - Ariss;;
12.5300 UAH - Pivdencombank KO;; Pivdencombank KF;; Akroprom ;; Arsenal;; Artada;; EURO;; Nick;;

Offers

Banks and Brokers to sell 1 EUR ranging 12.5700 - 12.7000 UAH. Click to continue »

Today the U.S. statistic data will show the economy recovers or not, and will determine the outcome of Friday throughout the world, including Russia

Friday, September 25th, 2009

U.S. indexes sharply recycled up at the opening of trading by encouraging statistics on applications for unemployment benefits, after the first hour of trading went down dramatically, so yes there were. The reason for the change of sentiment served other data - on sales of homes on the secondary market, which fell against expectations. The reduction was observed across the spectrum of securities, as a result of SP fell by almost 1%, Nasdaq at 1,12% and the Dow, which rose in the company's consumer sector, has lost less - 0,4%. U.S. index futures on Friday morning in a small plus.

bad mood in the U.S. market hooked already approaches the end of trading in Europe. Immediately after the publication of statistics on sales of houses traded higher before the closing Dow Jones Euro Stoxx fell by 2% and then play this fall almost could not (closing - minus 1.7%).

Just before the publication of statistics on houses turning point occurred in the global currency market, the dollar began to dramatically enhanced, not slowed down the impact on the state of commodities markets, primarily quotations of oil, which collapsed in 4.2%, roll on the level of the late July. Metals also fell 1.3%, gold would have to re-conquer the top of the $ 1000 per ounce.

Russia market, as usual, responded to all the factors at once. Movement in the currency market triggered the sale, which intensified after 18:00 Moscow time, when it was published statistics from the U.S.. As a result, the MICEX index, traded the second part of the day in positive territory, lost 3% to highs of the day and closed lower by 2,3%, RTS index fell by 1%.

affected all blue chips, except Polyus Gold (1.4%). Survived and a number of energy market of the second and third tier by domestic factors. For example, OGK-5 remained in positive territory at 4.5% in the days after the publication of good data on IFRS for 1 half of 2009: despite a decline in revenues over the period due to lower demand for electricity, the company increased its EBITDA by more than 50% and net profit by 125% thanks to the work on cost. FGC, growing in recent years in anticipation of an early transition of the company to a new system of tariff regulation, which guarantees a return on invested capital (RAB-regulation) added almost 6%.

According to premarketu, waiting for us OPPOSITE discovery: nearly all the mining companies up (morning, oil futures rebounded after falling nearly 1%), financial sector down. Quotes GDR Lukoil, Gazprom, Norilsk Nickel higher prices for local stocks. Starting from 16:30 Moscow time in the U.S. publication of statistics on orders for durable goods, sales of new homes - I think the real data that show the economy recovers or not, and will determine the outcome of Friday all over the world, including Russia.

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Latin America: Statistics from the U.S. and the depreciation of Commodities they rule region

Friday, September 25th, 2009

 

Thursday, September 24, the major stock markets of Latin America have completed the session in negative territory. The fears of investors have remained all the same - a more rapid recovery of the Brazilian economy and rising inflation may lead to higher interest rates next year. Fuel to the fire poured a further drop in prices of Commodities, as well as the closure of U.S. indices in the red zone against the backdrop of output statistics on sales of homes on the secondary market worse than expected.

As a result of trading a key index of Brazil Bovespa has decreased on 0,74%, the Mexican Bolsa fell by 1,71%, while Argentina's Merval was easier to 0,87%. Chilean index IGPA and Venezuelan IBC were closed in a slight increase. Losers become Peruvian IGBVL, subtracted from its assets 2,25%.

As a result, reduce the cost Commodities, the world's largest iron ore miner Vale retreated 1.1%, while Brazil's state oil company Petroleo Brasileiro shedding 1.3% of market capitalization.

Not pleased with the participants of the region statistics from the U.S., which showed that sales of homes on the secondary market in August declined from 5.24 million to 5.10 million, against projected to increase to 5.35 million As a result, shares of the largest in Latin America, steel worker Gerdau, receiving about 40% of revenue from activities in North America, fell 2.1%. The leading steel company in Mexico's Industrias CH went to minus on 4,9%.

Significantly affected, such statistics and paper construction companies Latin American region. For example, quotes the Brazilian Rossi Residencial, the third largest residential construction companies, fell by 3%, while shares of Brazil's leading developer Cyrela Brazil Realty Empreendimentos e Participacoes thinner at 2,5%. Papers in Mexico's largest construction company Desarrolladora Homex became easier on 1,9%.

After the Citigroup analysts recommended buying shares of Fomento Economico Mexicano, a leading Latin American producer of soft drinks, his quotes have risen by 3,6%. At the same time, the rating of securities Coca-Colsa Femsa has been lowered from buy to hold and as a consequence, his papers were closed in a minus on 0,5%.

The market value of shares of Chilean pulp producer Empresas increased by 4,1% due to the increasing rate of its securities analysts, Bank of America to buy on the background of a message appears stating that the company plans to acquire a factory in southern Brazil.

Index Country Closing Change (items) Change (%) Change YTD
MerVal Argentina 2,005.79 -17.57 -0.87% 85.78%
Bovespa Brazil 60,046.28 -449.91 -0.74% 59.91%
IBC Venezuela 52,447.08 40.23 0.08% 50.16%
IGBC Colombia 10,958.86 -25.92 -0.24% 44.95%
Bolsa Mexico 28,465.11 -494.56 -1.71% 27.19%
IGBVL Peru 15,084.50 -347.85 -2.25% 114.00%
IGPA Chile 15,621.27 1.23 0.01% 37.95%
IPSA Chile 3,316.41 -0.59 -0.02% 39.55%

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Savchenko: The top of the NBU should be holier than the pope

Interview with former deputy chairman of the National Bank …

Friday, September 25th, 2009

former deputy chairman of the National bank Alexander Savchenko told Focus that, for a time the country have enough gold reserves and why the NBU should be very high salaries.

What hryvnia rate is objective, in your opinion?

biggest devaluation (weakening national currency) has been in Russia is 30% (we have, by the way, all 40%). By the logic of economic pragmatism, we must devalue its currency a little more than Russia, because it is our main competitor. They have the same exports - grain, fertilizers, metals, machinery.

During the crisis that would enable our products to become more competitive. That is the course should now be about 6,5-7 hryvnia for one dollar. Of course, the weaker the hryvnia, the greater the profits of exporters. But now they themselves are caught up in the ears of foreign currency loans, and even they would like to have a rational course. The same course provides a fundamental analysis of balance of payments.

In what state are now in reserves in Ukraine? Some people think that they are declining.

They are in excellent condition. We have a good exchange rate structure - a lot of euros, pounds there. Their volume is estimated at $ 27-28 billion, more than enough to cover three months of imports - is a critical minimum. Трудности не с валютными активами, которые, кстати, дают отличный доход. Big problems with the hryvnia assets, which, unfortunately, will leave this year in the big minus.

Some analysts believe that the Cabinet extracts from NBU money by selling bonds goszayma him, in effect, forcing the National Bank to print hryvnia. Then the government to send these funds to cover the social security. Click to continue »

The German economy is recovering, but slowly

Friday, September 25th, 2009

In 2010, the effectiveness of the German economy will grow by an average of one and a half per cent. These forecast data submitted by the Institute of German Economy in Cologne (IW) on Monday, September 21. The fundamental here will export, - said the researchers.

However, a significant obstacle to the growth of the German economy may be growing unemployment, the effect of which will reduce consumer demand. To date in 2009, experts predict an economic slowdown in the rate of 4.5 percent - is the most significant decline since the founding of the FRG.

Prospects for investment also remains in question. After a precipitous fall in 2009 to 22 per cent of experts have expressed cautious hope for positive developments in 2010. The decisive factor in this matter should be the lack of credit vise.

much better in the field of exports: the volume of trade may rise next year by five per cent after falling in 2009 to 15 percent. Click to continue »