Regardless of what happens at the summit of G20, the era of Western domination is coming to an end. This writes Daily Telegraph.
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Sometimes recovery in the world of common sense and balance need a crisis and this fully applies to the imbalance of trade and capital, which, according to some experts, are the root cause of the current financial crisis.
For purists
economic changes taking place today in the field of demand and trade is inevitable, necessary and even desirable. Anyhow, long-term victims of these changes likely will be the status of the dollar and geopolitical domination of the West.
Almost unnoticed consequence of economic recession is that the imbalances in trade and capital flows spontaneously adjusted because of declining demand in the once-profligate consumer countries.
current-account surpluses of China, Germany and Japan are reduced, as well as deficits in the major consumers, primarily the U.S. but also Britain and Spain. The main issue facing the summit participants G20, are not the bonuses of bankers and financial regulation, and the opportunity to use this correction to create a more balanced global economy.
forced changes of behavior occurred in countries with deficits, where, despite the massive support provided by financial systems, there is still a lack of credit and increases thepropensity to save. These two factors limiting demand in the near future will not change.
This, in turn, leads to change the behavior of countries running surpluses. Exporters can no longer count on wasteful neighbors who bought their products in the past. As a result, they have to stimulate domestic demand. Click to continue »