January 11th, 2010

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Kommersant: Ukrainian Iron & Steel will be able to increase profits by using the global conjuncture

Monday, January 11th, 2010

World Steel Association (WSA) has improved the forecast of world steel consumption in 2009 - the fall of 2008 only 8,6% to 1.103 billion tons, and not 14,1% as previously expected, announced yesterday at the WSA annual conference Beijing. Already in 2010, the association expects growth in steel consumption to 1.205 billion tons, "We forecast a recovery in global demand in 2010. In the near future, emerging economies, particularly China, will play a decisive role in stimulating demand for steel," - said the chairman Economic Committee of the WSA Daniel Novegil. The next year the maximum consumption growth expected North America (17,1%), EU (12,4%) and North Africa (11.4%).

in 2009 was the worst for metallurgists in the past few years, when consumption began to rise. A small decline was in 2008 - by 1,4% to 1.207 billion tons biggest drop this year was in North America (at 35.8%), EU (32.6%) and LPG (30.8%) . But if the developing countries, demand has fallen by 17% in 2010 to grow by 12%. In developed countries, consumption of steel in 2009 declined by 34%, but in 2010 will grow by 15%. "The global recovery is stronger than we predicted in April. Current projections suggest that demand for metals in China will increase by 19% in 2009 and by 5% - in 2010," - said Novegil.

CIS markets will recover much more slowly: in Ukraine in 2010, consumption increased by 9,7%, in Russia - by 8,5%. In addition, next year is expected to grow at the traditional Ukrainian steel markets - the Middle East and North Africa: the 15,1% increase in consumption in Turkey, at 12,3% - in Saudi Arabia and by 10,2% -- in the United Arab Emirates.

next year at the Ukrainian metallurgists have the opportunity to build up exports, I"m sure the vice-president of the Industrial Group (manages the assets of the Industrial Union of Donbass) Alexander Pilipenko. BG Capital analyst Eugene Dubogryz predicts that the key markets for Ukrainian steel products next year will be Turkey, the Middle East, North Africa and the EU. Click to continue »

Investment recommendation on the shares of Gazprom, Surgutneftegaz, Sberbank, and futures on the RTS

Monday, January 11th, 2010

<b> Stocks </b> <br /> Buy shortovy ETF on U.S. Treasury bonds (TBT US) at levels below the $ 41.0 with the immediate goal of $ 48.4. <br /> <br /> Preserve on Friday increased long positions in ordinary shares of "Gazprom" (GAZP RX) with the immediate goal of 192.0 rubles. <br /> <br /> Preserve long positions in preferred shares of Surgutneftegaz "(SNGSP RX) with the immediate goal of 12.50 rubles. <br /> <br /> double open on Friday, long positions in ordinary shares of Sberbank (SBER03 RX) in the case of quotations to reduce 52.5-53.0 rubles. with the immediate goal of 68.0 rubles. <br /> <br /> Maintain long positions in ordinary shares "Volgatelekoma" (VTEL RX) with the immediate goal of 70.0 rubles. <br /> <br /> double open on Friday, long positions in ordinary shares of FGC (FEES RX) in the case of reduction of quotations to 0.315-0.320 rubles. with the immediate goal of 0,400 rubles. <br /> <br /> Maintain long positions in ordinary shares RusHydro (HYDR RX) with the immediate goal of 1,140 rubles. <br /> <br /> buy December futures on the RTS index (VEZ9) in the range of 1195-1205 with the immediate goal of 1300 points and stop loss on a mark in1170 items. Click to continue »