Leading U.S. economists believe that the U.S. economy grew in the third quarter on 3,1% and will continue to rise at the level of 2,6-2,8% during the first half of next year.

These

next poll The Wall Street Journal showed that analysts do not expect the early reduction of unemployment, until February, when it reaches 10.2% from the current 9.8%. Thus, even before the end of next year it will not fall below 9.4%, they say.

Economists do not expect in this situation, the Federal Reserve rate hikes, at the earliest, until August 2010, which is explained in particular high unemployment.

All recent months, economists have raised growth forecasts for the U.S. economy in the third quarter. A month ago, forecasts of growth rate averaged 3%, before that - 2,4% in June - only 0,6%.

The median estimate of 48 analysts polled in the last quarter of 2009, the U.S. economy will grow by 2,5%. This assessment has not changed compared to September, in August, the consensus was 2.1%, while in previous months, experts at the polls were called more modest figure: 2% in July, 1.9% - June, 1,8% - in May.

U Experts disagree how the economy will behave in a future year when reduction of the influence of government measures to encourage her and be completed resupply, with the unemployment rate will still be high. Some believe that the economy is the second wave of recession.

In 2010, U.S. GDP will increase, according to economists, whose views had not changed compared with September, to 2.8% after a reduction in this year's 0,7%.

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