Yesterday
networking vendors fuel prices were poised on the stela of its refueling complexes to record 8 grn. /liter. However, according to experts, if the exchange rate stabilizes, things will go back down towards the end of the week - reduce quotations on oil and oil products in European markets, observed since late August, prices will fall back on the Ukrainian gas stations, at least for 10-15 cop. /liter.
Among the first domestic sale of fuel could not stand Continuum (a network of filling stations WOG), raising the price on Friday on the stela of their stations on the 95 th gasoline to 7,98 UAH. /l (18 cop.) and diesel fuel - up to 6,65 UAH. /l (20 cop.). Waited until Monday, after it began to catch up to the values of 7,95-7,99 grn. /L vysokooktanu and 6,60-6,65 grn. /L for diesel fuel remaining major brendoviki - OKKO, KLO, Lukoil , Shell, Ukrtatnafta and others. Market observers point out that for a similar price hike, which brought the price of fuel to the psychological mark of 8 grn. /L, traders dared not least because on Friday privatovskie refueling (Ukrnafta, ANP, Avias etc.) for 10 kopecks. /l reduced already become a familiar price break from the competition across all product lines.
traders themselves are among the main causes of the rise in price is called the continued devaluation of the currency and a limited number of proposals of Ukrainian producers on the market in a big opte in late August, which triggered the purchase price increase.
According to market participants, it is possible that the actions of the processors are of a contractual nature in order to shake the market, triggering a small procurement boom. Correct the situation in the 20's days of August, having satisfied all the requests, failed and imported inputs: the volume of fuel had been brought up to August remained low. According UPECO, in August, was imported 157 thousand tons of gasoline and 225 tons of diesel fuel. This is almost 1,5-2 times less than the same period last year. The main factor affecting the passivity of the importers, continues to be the growth rate of the dollar - its unpredictability to the prevailing negative expectations. All together, this led to the abandonment of resource supplies from abroad as extremely risky, - argues head of consulting group, A-95 Sergey Kujun.
However, the expectations of experts of the company UPECO, in the medium term, the situation of market saturation is close to the victory of the Ukrainian producers of importing: Domestic refineries gradually increase recycling. In August the Ukrainian plants mastered some 920-930 tons of raw materials. And in September, our manufacturers, according to preliminary data, are planning to process about 1 million tons of oil. Thus, the volume of imported resources will continue to decline, - analyst Alexander Sirenko.
According to experts, the current price trend in the retail market will not be long. Despite a number of destabilizing factors on the external market quotes for oil and petroleum products continued to fall. In particular, for the past 95-week price of petrol and diesel fuel in European trading platforms subsided by almost 9% ($ 626 /t and $ 528 /t -, respectively), and the price of oil Urals - almost 10%($ 66.7 /bar. ). Prerequisites for the resumption of growth neftekotirovok, according to most industry analysts, no, because the world has seen a large number of raw materials and food stocks. With regard to the Ukrainian market, then by early September, recorded an increase in stocks of petroleum products at Ukrainian refineries, which, in turn, should pull the sales prices of fuel in wholesale consignments segment down.
Thus, taking into account the downward trend in the global market if the dollar on the interbank exchange will be fixed at the level of 8,50 UAH., experts, consulting group, A-95 are waiting for stabilization of prices of petroleum products in Ukraine. In particular, in their view, to mid-September the price of petrol A-95 will fluctuate in a range 7,60-7,80 grn. /L and for diesel fuel - within 6,50 UAH. /L. I believe that by the end of the week 95 th the cost of petrol would revert to a mark 7,80 grn. /L, - says Mr. Sirenko. Price in UAH 8. /L may be simply too heavy for the consumer. Operators of gas stations will start to lose the sale and as soon as possible will try to win back down - sure Kuyun.
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