The technical analysis of currency pairs

Written by admin on August 14th, 2009

USD /JPY

prices move to the level of support of 95.00. If it is broken, expect further falls, the primary purpose of which is likely to become a mark 94.60/50. In favor of such an outcome suggests that the trend indicator OsMA at 4-hour graph (Figure 1) has become a downward direction. Oscillators turned raznonapravleno. At the time schedule (Fig. 2) OsMA, by contrast, turned up, thus signaling to the fact that ottolknuvshis of the specified point, prices will begin to phase in the growth to a level of 95.30/40. In the same direction and turns oscillator RSI. SS turned down.

So, in my view, the situation is uncertain. It is sensible to wait for her to clarify before making any trading decisions. Ability to open positions in sales with a close stop-loss is considered only after the confirmation of a breakthrough price-level support 95.00/94.90.

Support: 95.00/94.90, 94.60/50, 94.10/00, 93.60/50, 93.20/00, 92.80/75, 92.40, 92.00, 91.55, 91.00, 90.70, 90.00.

Resistance: 95.30/40, 95.90/96.00, 96.30, 96.60, 97.00, 97.50/75, 98.00, 98.35, 98.60, 98.90/99.00, 99.40/60, 100.00, 100.50, 101.00, 101.40/50, 101.70, 102.00/10, 102.60, 102.90.

USD /CHF

failing to overcome the 1.0700 support level, prices have begun to phase growth, which move to the level of resistance of 1.0730. If he will be overcome, may further increase, the primary purpose of which is likely to become a mark 1.0760, and, further, 1.0800. The probability of such an outcome suggests that, at the 4-hour graph (Fig.3) trend indicator OsMA gained upward thrust. Up and directed both the oscillator, which has not yet been served signs of turn. At the time schedule (Fig. 4) OsMA RSI and confidently directed upwards, thus reaffirming the presumption of the likelihood of a breakthrough level of 1.0730, and the continuation of an ascending movement. SS bear turned in the direction. Therefore, all the same power to return to the 1.0700 mark is not excluded.

Given the above, in my opinion, is to wait for clarification before making any trading decisions. The possibility of shopping with a close stop-loss seen only after confirmation of breakthrough resistance 1.0730.

Support: 1.0700, 1.0650/30, 1.0615/00, 1.0550, 1.0500/1.0490, 1.0400, 1.0350, 1.0300, 1.0250, 1.0200, 1.0175, 1.0130, 1.0100, 1.0070.

Resistance: 1.0730, 1.0760, 1.0800, 1.0840/50, 1.0900, 1.0935/40, 1.0970, 1.1000/10, 1.1050/60, 1.1100/20, 1.1150, 1.1200/15, 1.1270, 1.1320, 1.1375, 1.1400, 1.1450.

EUR /USD

The dynamics of motion is limited to the price range of 1.4250 - 1.4310. That trend indicator OsMA at 4-hour shift (Fig. 5) quite confidently sent down suggests the possibility of withdrawal from a range of breakthrough to the lower border. In this case, wait for the fall toward 1.4200. Down turned oscillator and SS. The situation at the time schedule (Fig. 6) is the opposite. OsMA gained upward thrust. In the bull turned and the direction of SS. All this indicates the possibility of raising prices to the upper boundary of the channel, followed by its testing.

In the light of the above, in my opinion, is wait for the price outside the range, and only then consider the possibility of opening the position with a close stop-loss in the direction of a breakthrough.

Support: 1.4250/30, 1.4200, 1.4140, 1.4100, 1.4070/60, 1.4030, 1.4000, 1.3960, 1.3900, 1.3860, 1.3840/30, 1.3800, 1.3780, 1.3740/30, 1.3700, 1.3680, 1.3630, 1.3600.

Resistance: 1.4280/83, 1.4320/30, 1.4360, 1.4400, 1.4430, 1.4465, 1.4500/15, 1.4540, 1.4585, 1.4600, 1.4725, 1.4760, 1.4800, 1.4840, 1.4870.

GBP /USD

A couple moves to the level of support 1.6540. His break open the box to test 1.6500. On the possibility of further drop suggests downward direction OsMA trend indicator at the 4-hour graph (Fig.7). Down and directed both the oscillator. At the time graph (Fig.8) OsMA and RSI acquired a downward direction. In the bear area, and charted the spread oscillator SS. This confirms the assumption about the possibility that prices will overcome the level of support 1.6540 and continue downward movement.

However, in my opinion, the possibility of opening positions on the market with a close stop-loss should be considered only after the confirmation of a breakthrough price support level 1.6540.

Support: 1.6540, 1.6500, 1.6430, 1.6400, 1.6370, 1.6340, 1.6300, 1.6230, 1.6200, 1.6170, 1.6100, 1.6060, 1.6000, 1.5975/60, 15930, 15900, 1.5840.

Resistance: 1.6600, 1.6640, 1.6700, 1.6730, 1.6800/10, 1.6900, 1.6970, 1.7000, 1.7060, 1.7100, 1.7130, 1.7200, 1.7300, 1.7360, 1.7400, 1.7430, 1.7490/1.7500.

The oil and gas sector looks fairly calm, optimistic securities Metallurg already superfluous
Futures on the Euro-Dollar consolidates below resistance at 1.43, the sample, this level could lead to the area 1.44-1.45
Now the market leaders among the most liquid shares of Gazprom (0.3%) and Surgutneftegaz (0.5%), in apparent outsiders Rusgidro (-2,5%) and Sberbank (-1.3 %)
In the 2 quarter of 2009 Salavatnefteorgsintez reduced revenue for RSA by 51% to 15.4 billion rubles
In the 1 half of 2009, Surgutneftegaz reduced earnings by RSA to 27.5% to 232.8 billion rubles
Over the past week planned power in Russia has decreased by 10.8%
Today analysts' forecasts for the pair EUR /USD - to bid in the range: 1.4200-1.4350
Asia: the inspiration for the growth of not giving
The course is kept buying the dollar unchanged - a daily review of the cash markets

 

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