previous session
On Thursday, trading on Russian exchanges closed in positive territory: RTS 0,62%, MICEX 1,10%. Trading session on domestic markets opened positive, thanks to the positive closure of American playgrounds. However, in the afternoon, the indices showed lateral movement. Moreover, published data on the negative macroeconomic statistics from the U.S. did not influence the course of bidding. Nevertheless, the opening of U.S. markets, domestic indices showed negative dynamics. It should be noted that the leaders of growth on the basis of the day became the paper"s Severstal and VTB, looked worse than the market shares "PolyusZoloto and Gazpromneft. The result: oil and gas sector: Gazprom 0.16%, Lukoil 1,405%, 1,47% Rosneft, Surgutneftegaz 2,37%. Banking Sector: Savings 0.59%, VTB 3,19%. Sector-ferrous metallurgy: MMC Norilsk Nickel 2.14%, PolyusZoloto 1,37%.
European indexes finished trading in the negative: the British FTSE100 1,37%, German DAX 1,82%.
U.S. exchanges closed in the red zone. On Wednesday came out the following statistics: primary treatment for unemployment benefits last week fell from 482 thousand to 470 thousand (at 2,48%), are expected to decline to 450 thousand orders for durable goods in December increased by 0.3 % (m /m), was expected to increase by 2%, the previous value was 0.7% (m /m). American sites from the first minutes of trading showed negative dynamics. Only in the afternoon, the indices showed little uncertainly upward movement. But closing the auction held in the negative zone. It is worth noting that looked better than the market shares of the banking sector. The result: DowJones 1,13%, SnP500 1,18%, Nasdaq 1,91%.
Before opening
Asian session demonstrates the dynamics of differently directed: Japanese Nikkei225 0,99%, the Chinese Shanghai Composite 0,66%, the Australian Index All Ordinaries 1,59%. U.S. futures SnP500 0,02%. Quotes of the ruble is now located at around 30,26 (Forex). Oil brand Brent 72,40 (0,37%). A pair of Euro /USD. traded near 1.39.
Recommendations
expect the mixed opening of the domestic sites. For Russia"s stock market develops mixed external background. Closing U.S. sites was in the red zone, the Asian session demonstrates the dynamics of differently directed, quotations of petroleum are located near the mark at $ 72 per barrel. All these factors could have an impact on the domestic stock market. It is worth noting that Ben Bernanke was re-elected to a second term as head of the Federal Reserve, which is a positive development. However, the expected macro-economic statistics today from overseas can make a substantial risk, particularly data on U.S. gross domestic product for the 4 quarter. In such a situation we do not recommend to open long positions, at least, before the release of statistical data at 16:30 Moscow time.
Expected data for today: 13:00 Unemployment rate (euro zone), 16:30 GDP growth (U.S.), 16:30 Employment cost index (U.S.), 17:45 index of business activity (USA), 17: 55 Index of consumer confidence (U.S.).
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Forex - results of the day
The Ukrainian stock market on Thursday rose to corporate records from the United States and domestic demand for paper MMC
There is still attractive for speculative purposes look paper FGC, until they more expensive level of 0,329 rubles
Publicly traded on Russia"s stock market can be expected to break down on 0,75-1%
The biggest adjustment will be observed today in the metallurgical sector issuers, ADR are cheaper per night
Russia market will open at the bottom, and the MICEX index may retreat to 1390 points
Better the market have a good chance to look "Telecom and paper electricity sector
Friday on Russia"s stock market will start with the "gap" down, "bulls" it is important to keep the level of 1390-1400 points on the MICEX
Igor Artemyev: The prices for domestic oil products market in Russia is still too high at 15-20% relative to world prices