in the Eurasian gas market will come redistribution. Leadership of Russia can be overthrown, and all cards "gas potentates" confuses Turkmenistan. It all started with a quarrel of the two former republics of the Union, and may result in unpredictable, with the northern neighbor ...
diagnosis of disease of relations between Russia and Turkmenistan - certainly a crisis. The first bear huge losses due to reduction of consumption, ie supplies, and the second fed cheaply to sell transit blue fuel and gas in this tormented world of conflict, it hopes to successfully win back the one who is not one year pressed.
North forgotten that the east - the Rising Sun
first burst of emotion, after a protracted litigation because of the price - the cessation of deliveries of Turkmen gas after the explosion in the gas CAC-4 on the night of 8 to 9 April 2009. Turkmenistan assigned responsibility for the bombing of Gazprom, which allegedly without notice to sharply reduced volumes of selected gas (not just for what was selected). Russia monopolist denied the accusations. However, supply is not resumed. Prior to this incident, Russia buys from Turkmenistan for re-export to Ukraine and Europe to 50 billion cubic meters of gas, which represents two-thirds of the total production of the country. After long as it is now customary to say, negotiations, January 9, already in 2010 deliveries resumed. But without concessions could not have done. Volume, incidentally, dropped to 30 billion cubic meters annually. As changes in the contract signed by representatives of Gazprom and Turkmengaz in the presence of the presidents of Russia and Turkmenistan Dmitriy Medvedev and Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov, which speaks of the "lightness" of dialogue. The most interesting is that according to fine-tune the document, the first time in the history of Russo-Turkmen relations in gas sphere of gas deliveries will be based on the price formula, which fully complies with the conditions of the European gas market.
nice, damn it, for Turkmenistan, but its stock was high time to do it. But this is not important. Countries, among which special attention is paid to China and Iran, long sitting on a gas diet, promptly began to enter into long-term contracts with Turkmenistan.
Iran and China hurry up ...
most striking event occurred on January 6. Presidents of Iran, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Turkmenistan Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov and officially opened the new pipeline Dovlyatabad-Sarahs-Hangeran. This is the second pipe through which the Turkmen gas will be supplied to Iran. Its length is 30.5 kilometers. As noted, Ahmadinejad launched a gas pipeline would bring Turkmen gas to market not only Iran, but later in the Gulf region.
*** The design capacity of the new pipeline designed to transport up to an annual 12.5 billion cubic meters of gas. According to the technological scheme, the new pipeline connected to the main gas pipeline Dowletabat-Deryalyk, which also ensures the supply of Turkmen gas to Russia.
worth noting that between Armenia and Iran operates the pipeline, and experts do not exclude that and it can be delivered Turkmen gas.
But not only Iran lucky. The world leader in export - China does not stay losers. December 14, in the presence of the heads of China, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, was opened a gas pipeline Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan - Kazakhstan - China (Tuukka), already in 2013 will be pumped to China 40 billion cubic meters of gas per year.
According to experts, this energy transportation routes bypassing Russia will reduce the dependence of Central Asian republics from Moscow and cement China"s status of the informal leader of the region.
As rumored project participants, the price for China is a market, but China is fully satisfied. Incidentally, China is a major investor in the pipeline by investing in the project $ 20 billion Index - pipe surface, rather than dubious sea ...
*** The intergovernmental agreement on construction Tuukka was concluded in April 2006, work began in 2007 and took less than three years. The pipeline to the border of China over 1800 km. The next year it will be delivered to about 13 billion cubic meters of gas at full capacity and 40 billion cubic meters of pipe to be released in 2012-2013. By that time, Turkmenistan will supply approximately 30 billion cubic meters (between CNPC and Turkmengaz signed a contract to supply gas to China for 30 years starting in 2009), another 10 billion cubic meters will give Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.
left it for another client - the EU. The EU has long eyeing to Turkmen gas, and the side does not want to stay. The message - Nabucco.
*** gas pipeline "Nabucco" to be built to transport gas from Central Asia and the Caspian region to Central Europe. Length - 3,3 thousand km. Shareholders of the project - Austrian OMV, Hungarian MOL, Romanian Transgaz, Bulgarian Bulgarian Energy Holding, a Turkish BOTAS and the German RWE. Capacity - 31 billion cubic meters. Cost - 7.9 billion euros. This project is a rival to Russia"s South Stream, which, like Nabucco, is scheduled to be operational by 2013. Nabucco is expected to reduce Europe"s dependence on Russia"s gas. The pipeline should pass through Turkey and the Balkan states to Austria. The supply 30 billion cubic meters a year. The main suppliers of gas for this pipeline is called Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan.
Turkmenistan responded to the proposal of the EU full readiness. President of the Republic of Turkmenistan Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov believes that the Turkmen gas reserves sufficient for the implementation of a project to supply natural gas from the Caspian basin to Europe. "At the moment, Turkmenistan has free gas, and we are ready to send it to any purchaser abroad, including the gas pipeline Nabucco", - he said.
seen Russia"s media are quick to write the losers in Europe, where they predicted shortage residue gas after Iran and China. Turkmenistan knows better what the stock has that sense.
For Ukraine, the main thing - to have time ...
remains only one question, but what about Ukraine? Maybe it"s time to take up the case, leaving then all sorts of philosophy. In the Secretariat of the President optimistic about the possibility of a resumption of direct deliveries of Turkmen gas to Ukraine. Especially the mood has improved since last year"s autumn visit to the eastern country of the President of Ukraine. Then Yushchenko"s representative on international energy security Bohdan Sokolovsky said that he had the impression that Turkmenistan is ready to begin a dialogue on the resumption of direct deliveries. He also recalled the position of President, which lies in the fact that Ukraine is interested in the resumption of such transfers, subject to the interests of all third parties - the countries of transit of gas.
This Sokolowski said that during negotiations with the Turkmen side was considered as the "Russia factor". He suggested that today there are several options to address the issue of transit of Turkmen gas through Russia on mutually beneficial terms.
And again on the agenda of the gas contract in Ukraine and Russia, the need to revisit that talk and talk with a vengeance. Recently we have yet another statement. Deputy Chairman of the Duma Committee on Foreign Affairs Andrei Klimov not preclude review of gas contracts after the election of the President of Ukraine.
"As for the signed contract, we must not forget what the situation was at the time of sigef4ning - she was nervous and politicized. In such a situation, of course, a good instrument is hard to create an optimal" - said Klimov.
"In that sense, I do not exclude that the two sides back to the topic, and sign something deeper and more thoughtful," - he added, stressing that such a document should not be political, and commercial contract between the relevant economic actors.
If we consider that the ill-fated contract signed for 10 years, then maybe our politicians will try for the country and make it less a slave, with the possibility of direct deliveries of Turkmen gas.
now candidates for the post of head of state vied with each other as hard as before, with virtually all were in charge - Ukraine needs to diversify its energy supplies. It is very important to the team that will do away with talking shop and get down to business. And it could be too late ...
Oksana Pavlov
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