Around the world there are not many countries that have so far not announced the official information on the status of economic development in the 1st quarter. These, along with Ukraine, and Zimbabwe belongs ...

yesterday in Ukraine was a sort of day. Officially, he notes, the truth, December 5, but June 30, almost the peak day demand for the State Statistics Committee and, accordingly, visit the official page of this department.

In fact, yesterday

expired 90 days after completion of the first quarter, which should be declared on the dynamics of the GDP in January-March 2009. On the statistical map of the world there are not many countries that have so far not announced the official information on the status of their economic development in the first quarter. Symptomatically that these, along with Ukraine, and Zimbabwe belongs.

Few doubted that the announced data on the outcome of the economic development of Ukraine in the first quarter of record decline in the economy in the 22-23 per cent. Against the background of these expected numbers, even apocalyptic prognosis Pinzenik in his famous memorandum already looks like euphoria. «Figures economic recession in the first quarter of 2009 - said the former Minister of Finance in the memorandum, the authorship of which he so publicly, and not admitted - will be far worse than I had demonstrated as a projection at a government meeting. A demonstrated reduction of the then Minister of Finance Economy at 7-10 per cent.

It is this reduction in their economies - from 7 to 10 percent - are not shy at all the people to accept the developed world economy. For example, the official forecast for Ireland - reducing the economy by 10 percent this year, while export-oriented Germany in the first quarter (year to year) officially recognized by 7 per cent decline. The Ukrainian Government has so far stubbornly swear black is white and holds its initial macroeconomic forecast 0.4 percent growth for 2009.

There is no doubt that, in contrast to today's official report from the State Statistics Committee on the reduction of one-fifth the volume of the Ukrainian economy in the first quarter of the government have prepared antidotes. Chief mesidzh that we hear today - the information is outdated, and the revival of the economy there. We have the statistics not only to hide (eg, data on Treasury bill and the full information on the implementation of the budget), but decide that it is cast on the table and how to garnish.

example, on 24 June, Prime Minister of Ukraine announced good news: The Pension Fund through his professional work the system even in the face of grave crisis in June, brought together by 4,5% more than in June, the success of 2008. There is no reason not to believe such information is not available. Most likely, the way it is, but such a statement serves as a textbook example of selective treatment of information and the deliberate exclusion of the data from the general flow of information.

lot of it or little - 4.5 percent - such conclusions can be made only in the context of complete data on the implementation of the budget FL in June. Because their site has nothing to PF and to seek, use a very brief news reports on the outcome of the ESF in January-May 2009, and similar information for the January-May 2008. They show that from year to year, their income (excluding transfers from the budget) increased by 0.4 per cent: from 38 billion 583 million to 38 billion 741 million Evidently, the Ukrainian economy is indeed beginning rally in June, when the PF (at 24.06), significantly improved its performance.

However, it would be unethical to argue that the attempt podmarafetit statistics vyluschit from selected grains, hidden away from eyes that officials believe sexual, is peculiar only to Ukrainian officials. Temptation to use statistics to your own taste and discretion has, perhaps, to everyone who thinks about the next election. However, in Western democracies, rules of conduct for government officials with official statistics is severely regulated.

in the United States, only the President gets up-to-date statistics (eg data on the level of unemployment) for a few hours before it is officially announced. More government officials - for 30 minutes. None of the officials, except the chief statistician, has no right to comment on the data during the hours after their appearance. Brits caught their statistical agency - Statistics Commission - on the subjective interpretation of the official measure of crime in the country, have established the High Authority Statistics - UK Statistics Authority. This observation agency authorized to monitor and verify the accuracy of statistical reports, which produce the British authorities. A line of funding in the budget shall be voted on without debate - that the agency has not come under pressure.Moreover, the British adopted a code of responsible use of official statistics, which have imposed strict ethical restrictions on the use and interpretation of statistics officials. In particular, the Code provides that an official at any level «has no right to selectively cite data that give someone the advantage of an array of information, which has not yet been made public. It is also noted that the «access to information that has not yet been formally released, is a privilege. An officer is not entitled to disclose such information, especially its interpretation at its discretion.

If

in Ukraine operated by such rules (and most importantly - to be followed), the statements of government officials like the 4.5-percent growth in revenue PF would - at least - the basis for consideration by the committees on compliance of statistical ethics.

Stanislav Golubenko

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