the approach of autumn means and the start of the next political season. Not far off the first plenary meeting of the new session of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, will commence soon and the campaign, and sign the policy has come from happy with fresh statements.

Autumn retake

However, summer is over and the period of relative political silence. The last session rest before the presidential election now behind us (considered to be a New Year's holiday vacation is difficult - they have apogee of the campaign), and Ukrainian politicians with new forces preparing to battle for the hearts and minds of voters.

Contrary to some fears, politleto-2009 passed relatively quietly, as for the calm before the storm. Apparently, the main efforts of the public powers that erupted during the prolonged end of last season - along with the struggle to improve living wage tomorrow, deprived of his deputy Lozinski and arduous preparation of a new version of the law on presidential elections. After such passions of summer events is not too impressive magnitude.

most prominent landmarks in the second half of July - August 2009 were a few events. Among them - used extensively by domestic politicians extended visit of Patriarch of Moscow and All Russia (most clearly distinguished, perhaps, Viktor Yanukovich), which played into the hands of the image of the current head of state anger videovozzvanie Dmitry Medvedev and a portion of the reactions to it, a splash of unifying impulses in all possible camps ( left, the national-democratic and mladopoliticheskom), as well as the sudden desire of people's deputies to work at the end of recess. The reason for holding an extraordinary session on August 21 on the surface - looks like that of the need to overcome a presidential veto on two counts. In the first case was that of a fierce political necessity - the inauguration of the notorious election law, the urgency of the second - the financing of the preparation for Euro-2012 by using the National Bank of Ukraine - is dictated by both economic and, possibly, image reasons. Be that as it may, the end of August elect people seem to remember that many vital questions still for them. And do they still have in the coming months.

Based declared in the summer parliamentary plans, fall 2009 should be a memorable time not only through the presidential election. At one time, almost no major advertising announcement of the upcoming season was a persistent struggle of the Party of Regions for raising social standards. On the one hand, the Regionals, in hopes of consciousness of the working group, continue to assert that a vote for a Profile bill will certainly happen as early as 1 September. On the other hand, the principal guardians of the public good time to hedge. Twenty-first of August in the parliament were reported decision regarding the recommendations of Michael Papiyev to have an unwritten state budget - just about the level of the minimum wage and living wage (with an even more attractive figures, but - as from 1 January). So, it is unknown how the fate sotsialki in the fall, but the way to a retreat in the OS already prepared ...

Improving the lives of exams that parliamentarians themselves suffered in the fall, not limited. For example, the Secretariat of the President never tires of reminding that the People's Deputy were going to cancel their own integrity. Some of the likelihood that this important event will occur in the autumn of 2009, there, that's just a matter of reducing the rights of the people's representatives is usually classified as fresh tradition so hard to believe. In addition, the Verkhovna Rada had planned with new forces to take up the struggle with the economic crisis and its social consequences. The intention is laudable, but it is strangely combined with a budget trend. On the eve of the new session is almost no guarantee that the main estimates for the country to be adopted in time (ie - fall) - before the presidential election - neither opposition nor even the government.

Another, designed to retake the problem may be another pending item - reformatting the government. After attempts to address this issue at one of the extraordinary meetings of the end of the previous session, the Prime has moved to positions in the fall - so the fall. Over the past months the situation has not changed. In the Cabinet are still vacant four chairs and more, at least two are under threat of eviction inhabitants (although the middle of summer coal industry minister Viktor Poltavets withdrew his resignation) and continue to plan obzvestis couple-three new vice-premiers . Since the summer, the stumbling block was the lack of understanding between the government and the opposition about the proposed package (remember, the Party of Regions would like to add death list Yuriy Lutsenko and Ivan Vakarchuk), it is unlikely that it will find skhodu by early fall. Also, reportedly promised an additional recovery of personnel issues: the press does not exclude the possibility that in an hour V president instead of the Ambassador of Ukraine to the United States Oleh Shamshur proposed for the post of Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ambassador to Russia Konstantin Gryshchenko. Anyway, the parliamentarians will be something to do. Not counting the main theme of the season - the presidential election.

All Passion - in the election

role and place of the forthcoming campaign in the fall season can not be underestimated. Most likely, the run to take a coveted presidential seat, or at least worthy to participate in the race, will be devoted to the lion's share (if not entirely) efforts politigrokov. Therefore, we should expect the situation when all said and done this or that politician is viewed through the prism of side and how it relates to elections.

After the Fall-2008 took place under the shadow of fighting concepts of early parliamentary vs a coalition, it is expected that this time element of an arbitrary program will be a small legal war. And that is fully consistent with the laws of the pre-election time, the pretext for military action promises to be suffering the law on presidential elections. Shortly after overcoming a presidential veto, the head of state promised that without the Constitutional Court and this time no cost. Together in this opinion with the guarantor and the Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada, and the Committee of Voters of Ukraine.

Thus, it is likely that the field of pre-election battles for some time moved to the CRS (the next stage of the warming of relations between the government and Bankovoj there already considered). Delays in the process of legitimization of the new electoral law, may not lead to the disruption of the organizational process, but will certainly give cause for much speculation. Especially given that the start of tasteful - up to discuss the legitimacy of the judiciary. Against the background of a possible judicial campaign, the upcoming autumn season scandals CEC yet modest. Perhaps the main problem, according to stakeholders, yet is to achieve one of the members - Anatoly Pisarenko - the maximum permissible age of 65, in the case of addressing the problem, according to Vice Speaker Oleksandr Lavrynovych, may call into question the legitimacy of CEC decisions ... To start the race more than six weeks, and two possible front are already preparing for the opening ...

Formally, the campaign has not yet officially started (pre-start celebrations scheduled for 19 October), members of the race still can expect some organizational restraint. Although the abundance is not always hidden political advertising on the streets and the general themes okolopoliticheskih statements to the contrary.

hard to say how the fact of the arrival of politoseni affect the activity of the key players. By and large, in the election, she carried the key is not the first month, and should be expected unless the rate increase awareness among the people already familiar with the ideology of use.

For example, the head of the parliament Volodymyr Lytvyn, although in recent times and increased presence in the media space, but continues to stay the course's greatest peacemakers, who will attempt to establish a constructive working ASE (although, after he called the whole VI of the SCOP inadequate, perhaps it will not easy). And in this official opening politsezona, Vladimir Mikhailovich, of course, to help. Similarly, probably some time and will conduct the parliamentary leader of the Communists, though hand Peter Simonenko has renewed unifying rhetoric, under the sign of which may take at least part of the left of autumn. In turn, habitual patterns of long takes and Prime. Key behavioral model of Yulia Tymoshenko for the near future, most likely, will conform to a recognizable framework of the concept It works. And the growing need for this is - whose image, if not head of government, more than any other risk of suffering a crisis of everyday life. So much of the speeches of Prime Minister falls on the statements in the style of We were scared of defaults, but the default will not be until I'm holding this wheel.

While some politicians use the usual operating time, others have clearly eager for the fight. Concurrent opening of the political season and the solemn declaration: I go to you - you can find the press conference of Viktor Yanukovych, which was held on August 27. During her Viktor not only confirmed his own confidence in victory (if everything goes to the serious result - even in the first round) and clarified the ownership of the residence Mezhigorie, but also outlined a range of issues, which seem to , will build its pre-election campaign. In general, there were no surprises: the standard set of OS-theses, complete with spirited criticism of government economic policy than the leader of the shadow government is engaged in a long time, and the exploitation of the image of the president who will fix the relations with Russia (which, after broad support for a memorable statement of Dmitry Medvedev - is no longer news). In any case, the actual opening of the season was successful, because a competitor advance of Viktor Yanukovych in this role, by and large, used the official position.

Equals

session of communication of the opposition candidate with the press, the initiative start to the season politosen-2009 can be attributed, and Viktor Yushchenko. The current president, as has already been told more information significantly expanded the scope of congratulations to the country's Independence Day, after making a solemn speech a number of theses, most closely resembles the presentation of pre-election program. The greatest attention from the move has attracted presidential initiative on the national discussion of the constitutional guarantor of initiatives (with a possible referendum on the horizon), the next day, backed up by relevant decree. Although nothing fundamentally new in this idea of head of state there, but even the fact of issuing the decree and the ensuing discussion of their probable effects in motion one of the major trends. Autumn campaign season, it seems, will center around several key issues. The Constitution of the crisis, the helplessness of power, the legitimacy of the elections, Russia's foreign policy ... There was a reason, but the theme will always be. And the voters know about them first.

Xenia Sokółka

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