It remains to be determined by the progress of bidding, as in the previous week, abundantly available macroeconomic statistics (sales of new homes in the United States, GDP U.S. housing prices, statistics on durable goods, which in the case of positive data only reinforce the rally at all sites) and corporate reporting season out of the ocean, which are partially positive, partially neutral, but most reports a failure, as in the past quarter, have not yet been observed, which continues to reassure the market. Dramatically increased activity on the Russian oil ADRy securities in Europe. Perhaps, once again increased the demand for Russian paper by non-residents who have actively started to buy domestic securities neftyanki against the background of podrosshey oil that will provide them with high growth potential in the week. In metallurgical papers of growth is also highly probable, since it is actively contributing to the rally in commodity markets and rising prices of industrial metals on the background of the devaluation of the U.S. dollar. Given that the shares of metallurgists and so well had grown up as a result of last week, speculation profitable open positions on the purchase.
In the U.S. market trading closed with divergent changes in the leading indices. Strongly added shares of oil companies against the backdrop of rising oil prices. Good branch of paper the world's largest oil company ExxonMobil and its smaller rival ConocoPhillips rose by 1% and 0.96% respectively. Also good impact on the market and the statement by the head of the Fed Ben Bernanke that many U.S. banks reduced the volume of emergency measures to rescue the country's economy, as the worst situation has passed. With regard to corporate news, the paper of the world's largest software manufacturer Microsoft, on the basis of bidding proseli at 8.3% against the background of the publication Ñлабоватого optimistic financial reports. According to the report Microsoft's net profit fell by 18% to a level of $ 14.6 billion compared with $ 17.7 billion last year. Microsoft's revenues for the year fell by 3% to a level of $ 58.44 billion compared with revenue for the previous fiscal year to $ 60.4 billion at 8% on the basis of bidding proseli securities owner of one of the world's largest online stores Amazon . com after its financial report that the company's net profit for the II quarter of 2009-year has fallen by 10% to a level of $ 142 million compared with $ 158 million received last year. With regard to macroeconomic news, on Friday left the index of consumer confidence in the U.S. for July, which fell by 4.8 point and totaled 66 points in the expectations index to 65 points.
the oil futures markets brands Light Sweet and Brent traded in negative zone, which was due, above all, technical sales background in the fact that oil prices in the stock market has risen the day before and on the basis of the trading day on Thursday established a maximum for three weeks, the level that formed the profits from the holders of long positions and a desire to fix it on Friday. Shopping in the morning were mostly associated with positive prospects of demand for diesel fuel, which reflects the industrial activity and consumer spending is much higher than other fuels. According to many market participants, the increase in fuel consumption should be the time to apply for the winter period when demand for heating fuel in the United States is the maximum. The risk of growth of fuel consumption is that the economic recovery can begin much later than expected. In the United States stocks of petroleum products, which include heating fuel and diesel fuel, are at the maximum level of 1985-year. Already in the world chartered dozens of tankers to store excess fuel on them, and if demand is low in winter, it will force oil companies to sharply reduce oil refining, which will increase the reserves of crude oil. The International Energy Agency predicts decline in global demand for oil in 2009-th year, but by the end of the year all the same expected improvement in oil consumption.
Today the Russian market after a positive opening, we expect to overcome the level of 1050 points on the MICEX, which is the local level to take it, then drop in the price of oil over $ 71 will be difficult. Much will show statistics on the primary real estate market, because if it confirms the feeling of stabilizing the U.S. economy, ie, hope for growth in the next few days.
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Day promises to be quite positive, if the growth of the Russian market did not frighten off statdannye of the United States
Consolidation of futures on RTS index in the region of maxima is in favor of continuing growth
The Russian stock market is expected to divergent dynamics of the major blue chip in the course of the day
Index MICEX today will fluctuate in the range of 1020-1050 points