harvested Strada and mass market release of new crop grain traders a free hand: prices this season at 20% below last year, and it is possible that they will fall further. Pay less to farmers and allow new Standards, according to which the grain, even yesterday, the former food became fodder. Given that currency cheaper cereals almost at times, it can be assumed that the coming marketing season will be one of the most profitable for local traders for the entire recent history of Ukraine.
Despite a good qualitative and quantitative indicators, the current crop are not happy villagers. Procurement prices for grain in Ukraine has declined and to date do not exceed 900-950 UAH. /T of wheat and 890 grn. /Tonne of barley, which at least 20% lower than in the corresponding period last year.
Analyst Company UkrAgroConsult Elizabeth Malyshko not exclude that in the near future a price collapse continues - the cost of wheat will fall a further 50-70 grn. /t and barley - 20-30 uah. /t. She explains that the trend decline in activity in the world grain market: the price of barley in the last month proseli at $ 10-15 /t (up to $ 150 /t), and wheat - at $ 25-30 /t (up to $ 125-130 /t).
should not discount the personal interest and traders. Given that this year the majority of households are in very straitened financial situation and try to sell the grain as quickly as possible, wholesalers are able to dictate their terms to them.
The situation is exacerbated by the fact that in this season by 30-40% (up to 30-40 hrv. /t) went up service elevators, so lay the crop in storage in anticipation of more favorable pricing environment, can not all farmers , - said director of the AAA Sergey Nalivka. Already on the resale of grain traders have the opportunity to earn up to $ 50 /t.
Experts predict that with the fall of prices in world markets will grow at 10-15% per month, which will allow exporters time bought up crops, to get even more profit - up to $ 100 /t.
Earnings
villagers also reduced due to the introduction of new guests to the grain, which came into force on 1 July this year. If the class of products is determined depending on the percentage of protein in it, but today the main point of reference is called gluten, which, according to Mr. Nalivki, consistent with international standards, therefore, facilitate the export of Ukrainian wheat. But the panic in the grain - wheat, which has in the past year was categorized as food, and paid accordingly, is considered to feed. Crimean farmers have threatened riots if the government does not intervene in the situation and will not stop their price.
As in the region this season has been the drought, the level of gluten in wheat was very low, whereas the protein is even more than usual. As a result, almost all Crimean grain, which villagers were going to sell as food, traders willing to buy only as fodder.
experts expect that the emotions in the market can at least for a time to repay the Agricultural Fund, which last week announced the launch spot for the formation of the state procurement of grain reserves. For these purposes from the budget allocated to the order of 1 billion UAH. But so far from the farmers' applications are accepted only.
According to AF, for the season they are planning to purchase more than 925 tonnes of barley, about 620 thousand tons of wheat and 130 tonnes of rye, with prices that are offered to farmers, will be at least 100 UAH. higher than declared by private traders. For example, the state set minimum prices for food wheat constituted UAH 1250. /T, for animal feed - 1050 UAH. /T, for barley - 900-980 UAH. /T.
to date in Ukraine namolocheno more than 2 million tonnes of wheat (expected 19 million tonnes) and about 4 million tonnes of barley (the total harvest - up to 10 million tons). Since before the end of harvest is still far, all the villagers are in dire need of money. But if it's the budget for everyone - the big question. Meanwhile, the AF takes harvest of mortgage schemes, which means at the hands of the farmers can get only 60% of the promised amount, which satisfied far from all. In addition, as shown by past practice, even guaranteed by the state of the money farmers are not able to obtain immediately.
Ludmila Ksenz
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