review the oil market for 03.02.10
Dynamics
Quotes of the oil market on Wednesday, February 3 on the basis of bidding closed with a slight decrease in the price of the background data on stocks of petroleum and petroleum products, by strengthening U.S. dollar on the currency market FOREX, and also because of the negative dynamics of neighboring markets and stock sites.
At the New York Stock Exchange NYMEH the March futures price of U.S. crude fell by 0.25, or 0.3%, and its price was 76.98 dollars per barrel.
The exchange ICE in London, Brent crude futures price fell 0.14, or 0.2%, to 75.92 dollars per barrel.
Causes
On Wednesday, February 3 quotes in the market of "black gold" closed with a decrease in price under the following factors: 1 - Economic data - data from U.S. Department of Energy showed reduced demand for oil in the four-week period ended January 29, at 2% , while oil reserves increased by 2.713 million barrels, gasoline inventories declined by 1.306 million barrels, distillate stocks, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, fell to 0.948 million barrels of refining capacity load factor was 77.7% 2 - Strengthening United States dollar in the FOREX market against the background after the release of economic news makrostatistiki and 3 - negative dynamics of the stock sites, where the major U.S. stock indices closed in the red zone against the backdrop of frustration for some financial reports (Dow Jones industrial average - 10270.55 (-- 26.30, or -0.26%), Nasdaq Composite - 2190.91 (0.85, or 0.04%), SP 500 -10001097.28 (-6.04 or -0.55%)), 4 - decrease in adjacent markets, namely the drop in market prices of precious metals; 5 - some market participants chose to take profits on a number of open long positions.
From news worth noting that in Russia opened a new strategic oil field with reserves exceeding 150 million tons - Savostyanov. The deposit is located in the Irkutsk Region and was opened by Rosneft. Stocks Savostyanova are 160,2 million tons of C1 C2. Savostyanova is owned by Mogdinskom site. The right to use subsoil Mogdinskogo plot Rosneft received in 2006. of 1,32 billion rubles. Currently, Rosneft prepares a license to prey on this field. Last year, Russia had produced 490 million tons of oil and 620 million tons of explored. By federal sites include deposit containing 70 million tons or more of recoverable oil reserves, 50 billion cubic meters gas, 50 tons of gold, 500 tons of copper, etc.
What to expect?
Many analysts point to the fact that oil prices are still within the trading range of 70-80 dollars per barrel and may have potential for further growth. The close relationship between oil prices and U.S. dollar is expected to continue to set the tone for trading on the oil market.
Why worry?
The main negative factors in the oil market are U.S. dollar and the technical picture, namely, the psychological and technical level of $ 80 per barrel, which does not allow to pass higher oil prices, thereby encouraging market participants to lock in profits on the open long positions.
Overview of precious metals market for 03.02.10
Dynamics
On Wednesday, February 3 quotes for gold and silver closed with a slight decrease in value against the background of strengthening U.S. dollar on the foreign exchange market, FOREX, and also because of the negative dynamics of equity markets and adjacent areas, and for technical reasons.
As a result of trading on the COMEX, division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), quotes gold futures dropped to 6.00 to U.S. $ 1112.00 per troy ounce, quotes, silver futures fell 43 cents to 16.32 dollars per ounce.
Causes
on Wednesday 3 February futures on precious metals have completed trades with a decrease in price under the following factors: 1 - strengthening of the dollar in the FOREX market amid falling risk appetite after the release of economic news and makrostatistiki (fear of finance Greece and the less-than-expected decline in the number of jobs in the private sector, U.S. - 22000) 2 - Economic News - news about the strike, the largest union of Greece, which can damage the plans of the Government to fix its finances, has only added pressure on gold 3 - negative dynamics of the stock sites, where the major U.S. stock indices closed in negative zone against the background of frustration for some financial statements - Pfizer Inc. (Dow Jones industrial average - 10270.55 (-26.30, or -0.26%), Nasdaq Composite - 2190.91 (0.85, or 0.04%), SP 500 - 1097.28 (-6.04 or -0.55%)), 4 - technical reasons - Futures Gold faced with technical resistance around 1130.00 dollars per troy ounce, prompting some investors to lock in profits, 5 - decrease in adjacent markets, namely the drop in prices in the oil market.
silver futures fell along with gold futures in anticipation of release of data on employment in the U.S. on Friday. Prices for platinum and palladium fell to the background of some profit-taking by investors after recent gains.
From news can be noted t1000hat Russia has increased production of gold in 2009. by 11,2% compared with 2008. through the commissioning of new fields. Production, taking into account the actual production, as well as obiter and secondary production, in the past year amounted to 205.24 tons, production itself - 178.29 tons. Gold mining companies, in contrast to other metallurgists, not strongly affected by the crisis in 2008-2009. Which led to higher prices for enjoying the investment demand for gold. However, companies in this sector lost for easy access to debt finance, which negatively impacted on the work of small enterprises engaged in production from placers, but not from the ore deposits. The growth of gold production in the whole of Russia in 2009. provided, first of all, the Dome deposit in Chukotka, rights belong to the Canadian Kinross Gold, deposit Karalveyem businessman Lev Leviev and the Chukotka region, the Pioneer deposit in the Amur region and the deposit Berezitovoe company "Severstal" in the Amur region.
What to expect?
Traditional purchase of precious metals in the early years of the funds, the overall improvement in investor sentiment, as well as decrease the U.S. dollar will provide sustained support to the quotations of gold and silver. However, the situation could change dramatically if the dollar will resume its strengthening, as the inverse correlation between the dollar and the prices of precious metals continues.
Why worry?
volatile changes in the currency market may be reflected in the sharp fluctuations of prices for precious metals.
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